CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Semifinals · 15 Oct 2026

Fluminense 1–2 Palmeiras

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Fluminense favourites at 42%.

Palmeiras won and made the better chances: 1.2 xG to 0.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ganso, 68.3 in 78′.

Well above their usual level: Guga +18.3, Ganso +16.9, Nonato +16.3.

Well below it: Carlos Miguel −19.8, Gustavo Gómez −10.9, Jhon Arias −10.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

11 Oct 2026	L 0–1	at Flamengo Brasileirão Série A
9 Oct 2026	W 4–0	v Coritiba Brasileirão Série A
20 Sep 2026	W 3–1	at Corinthians Brasileirão Série A
15 Sep 2026	L 1–2	at Club Atlético Platense Copa Libertadores
12 Sep 2026	L 1–3	at Atlético Mineiro Brasileirão Série A

11 Oct 2026	W 4–1	v Corinthians Brasileirão Série A
9 Oct 2026	W 1–0	v Bahia Brasileirão Série A
20 Sep 2026	D 0–0	at Grêmio Brasileirão Série A
16 Sep 2026	L 2–3	at LDU Copa Libertadores
12 Sep 2026	W 2–0	v São Paulo Brasileirão Série A

15 Aug 2026	Fluminense 3–2 Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A
26 Feb 2026	Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
23 Nov 2025	Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
23 Jul 2025	Fluminense 1–2 Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Wesley Natã Midfielder	13	1	0	0.10	100.0	–
Luciano Acosta Midfielder	12	0	0	–	76.1	–
Ganso Midfielder	78	0	0	–	68.3	+16.9
Nonato Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	67.6	+16.3
Guga Defender	90	0	1	–	67.0	+18.3
Thiago Silva Defender	90	0	0	–	61.5	+4.0
Kevin Serna Midfielder	27	0	0	–	58.7	–
Matheus Martinelli Midfielder	45	0	0	–	58.2	+6.0
Guilherme Arana Defender	90	0	0	0.03	57.3	+13.2
Rodrigo Castillo Forward	12	0	0	–	55.8	–
Jefferson Savarino Midfielder	84	0	0	–	53.5	+4.7
Julián Millán Defender	90	0	0	–	51.0	−0.3
Hércules Midfielder	45	0	0	0.05	46.9	+0.9
Hulk Forward	78	0	0	0.14	45.5	−10.1
Agustín Canobbio Midfielder	63	0	0	0.14	43.0	−6.2
Fábio Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	42.8	−5.8

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Felipe Anderson Midfielder	16	0	1	0.20	92.8	–
Mauricio Midfielder	16	0	0	–	69.6	–
Ramón Sosa Forward	16	0	0	0.19	66.3	–
Marlon Freitas Midfielder	90	1	0	0.07	64.2	+12.9
José Manuel López Forward	74	1	0	0.60	63.5	+13.6
Alexander Barboza Defender	90	0	0	–	50.4	−3.9
Lucas Evangelista Midfielder	90	0	0	–	48.5	−1.0
Murilo Defender	90	0	0	–	45.7	+2.9
Gustavo Gómez Defender	90	0	0	–	43.8	−10.9
Jhon Arias Midfielder	74	0	0	–	41.4	−10.8
Joaquín Piquerez Defender	90	0	1	0.09	40.9	−1.8
Agustín Giay Defender	90	0	0	0.02	38.9	−9.1
Andreas Pereira Midfielder	74	0	0	–	37.8	−10.7
Carlos Miguel Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	30.3	−19.8