Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.4 – 0.7
- Actual xG
- 1.6 – 1.2
- Goals
- 2 – 1
Footybot made Palmeiras favourites at 53%.
Palmeiras won a close one on the chances: 1.6 xG to 1.2.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Luciano Acosta, 93.0 in 45′.
Well above their usual level: Luciano Acosta +46.5, Guga +19.2, Juan Pablo Freytes +16.5.
Well below it: Joaquín Piquerez −12.7, Murilo −9.7.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Palmeiras
| 13 Feb 2026 | W 3–1 | at Internacional |
| 5 Feb 2026 | W 5–1 | v Vitória |
| 28 Jan 2026 | D 2–2 | at Atlético Mineiro |
| 7 Dec 2025 | W 3–1 | at Ceará |
| 4 Dec 2025 | W 3–0 | at Atlético Mineiro |
Fluminense
| 12 Feb 2026 | W 1–0 | v Botafogo |
| 5 Feb 2026 | D 1–1 | at Bahia |
| 28 Jan 2026 | W 2–1 | v Grêmio |
| 7 Dec 2025 | W 2–0 | v Bahia |
| 3 Dec 2025 | W 2–1 | at Grêmio |
Head to head
| 23 Nov 2025 | Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense |
| 23 Jul 2025 | Fluminense 1–2 Palmeiras |
Palmeiras
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Roque | 70 | 63.2 | +10.0 |
| Carlos Miguel | 90 | 60.4 | +2.1 |
| Allan | 87 | 59.9 | +12.8 |
| Andreas Pereira | 70 | 59.7 | +3.9 |
| Jhon Arias | 31 | 56.3 | – |
| Gustavo Gómez | 90 | 53.3 | −1.9 |
| Murilo | 90 | 46.7 | −9.7 |
| Mauricio | 90 | 46.2 | −2.9 |
| José Manuel López | 59 | 45.6 | −5.9 |
| Khellven | 59 | 45.5 | +3.3 |
| Ramón Sosa | 20 | 44.1 | – |
| Marlon Freitas | 90 | 43.7 | −2.0 |
| Lucas Evangelista | 20 | 41.1 | – |
| Agustín Giay | 31 | 39.5 | – |
| Joaquín Piquerez | 90 | 33.7 | −12.7 |
| Felipe Anderson | 11 | 29.2 | – |
Fluminense
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 45 | 93.0 | +46.5 |
| Santiago Moreno | 11 | 78.4 | – |
| Yeferson Soteldo | 45 | 69.9 | +12.3 |
| Guga | 90 | 63.5 | +19.2 |
| Juan Pablo Freytes | 90 | 59.1 | +16.5 |
| Jefferson Savarino | 90 | 56.0 | +7.2 |
| Guilherme Arana | 90 | 54.7 | +10.5 |
| Hércules | 28 | 52.1 | – |
| Fábio | 90 | 51.5 | −4.6 |
| Ignácio | 90 | 51.2 | +0.2 |
| Facundo Bernal | 25 | 50.9 | – |
| Matheus Martinelli | 62 | 50.3 | +1.9 |
| Ganso | 87 | 47.1 | +0.4 |
| John Kennedy | 29 | 46.6 | – |
| Otávio | 65 | 45.6 | – |
| Kevin Serna | 61 | 39.5 | −7.9 |