Fluminense 2–1 Grêmio
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.8 – 0.7
- Actual xG
- 2.5 – 1.6
- Goals
- 2 – 1
Footybot made Fluminense favourites at 62%.
Fluminense won and made the better chances: 2.5 xG to 1.6.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gustavo Martins, 65.9 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Gustavo Martins +18.4, Marcos Rocha +11.8, Marlon +9.0.
Well below it: Agustín Canobbio −23.6, Kevin Serna −15.9, Francis Amuzu −9.0.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Fluminense
| 7 Dec 2025 | W 2–0 | v Bahia |
| 3 Dec 2025 | W 2–1 | at Grêmio |
| 27 Nov 2025 | W 6–0 | v São Paulo |
| 23 Nov 2025 | D 0–0 | at Palmeiras |
| 20 Nov 2025 | W 2–1 | v Flamengo |
Grêmio
| 7 Dec 2025 | W 4–0 | at Sport Recife |
| 3 Dec 2025 | L 1–2 | v Fluminense |
| 26 Nov 2025 | W 3–2 | v Palmeiras |
| 22 Nov 2025 | L 2–3 | at Botafogo |
| 20 Nov 2025 | W 2–0 | v Vasco da Gama |
Head to head
| 3 Dec 2025 | Grêmio 1–2 Fluminense |
| 3 Aug 2025 | Fluminense 1–0 Grêmio |
Fluminense
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nonato | 78 | 52.9 | +3.3 |
| Everaldo | 8 | 52.1 | – |
| Renê | 90 | 50.9 | +1.6 |
| Fábio | 90 | 49.0 | −5.0 |
| Jemmes | 90 | 46.8 | −2.8 |
| Luciano Acosta | 78 | 46.2 | −0.2 |
| Matheus Martinelli | 90 | 44.7 | −3.4 |
| Santiago Moreno | 12 | 43.4 | – |
| John Kennedy | 89 | 39.3 | −2.4 |
| Juan Pablo Freytes | 90 | 35.3 | −9.0 |
| Samuel Xavier | 90 | 34.7 | −7.7 |
| Facundo Bernal | 12 | 32.2 | – |
| Kevin Serna | 79 | 32.1 | −15.9 |
| Agustín Canobbio | 86 | 29.7 | −23.6 |
| Jefferson Savarino | 11 | 25.7 | – |
| Ganso | 12 | 16.3 | – |
Grêmio
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Pavón | 30 | 100.0 | – |
| Willian | 29 | 77.0 | – |
| Gustavo Martins | 90 | 65.9 | +18.4 |
| Tetê | 74 | 61.1 | +8.9 |
| Marlon | 90 | 60.6 | +9.0 |
| Carlos Vinícius | 86 | 60.2 | +4.1 |
| André Henrique | 12 | 56.0 | – |
| Marcos Rocha | 45 | 56.0 | +11.8 |
| Weverton | 90 | 49.8 | −2.0 |
| Dodi | 61 | 48.7 | +4.5 |
| Edenilson | 90 | 47.5 | +0.1 |
| Arthur | 90 | 46.4 | −2.8 |
| Wagner Leonardo | 90 | 44.2 | −3.3 |
| João Pedro | 45 | 43.9 | – |
| José Enamorado | 16 | 41.5 | – |
| Francis Amuzu | 60 | 36.4 | −9.0 |