Matchday

Brasileiro Serie A 2026 · 28 Jan 2026

Fluminense 2–1 Grêmio

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.8 – 0.7
Actual xG
2.5 – 1.6
Goals
2 – 1

Footybot made Fluminense favourites at 62%.

Fluminense won and made the better chances: 2.5 xG to 1.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gustavo Martins, 65.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Gustavo Martins +18.4, Marcos Rocha +11.8, Marlon +9.0.

Well below it: Agustín Canobbio −23.6, Kevin Serna −15.9, Francis Amuzu −9.0.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Fluminense

7 Dec 2025W 2–0v Bahia Brasileirão Série A
3 Dec 2025W 2–1at Grêmio Brasileirão Série A
27 Nov 2025W 6–0v São Paulo Brasileirão Série A
23 Nov 2025D 0–0at Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A
20 Nov 2025W 2–1v Flamengo Brasileirão Série A

Grêmio

7 Dec 2025W 4–0at Sport Recife Brasileirão Série A
3 Dec 2025L 1–2v Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
26 Nov 2025W 3–2v Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A
22 Nov 2025L 2–3at Botafogo Brasileirão Série A
20 Nov 2025W 2–0v Vasco da Gama Brasileirão Série A

Head to head

3 Dec 2025Grêmio 1–2 Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
3 Aug 2025Fluminense 1–0 Grêmio Brasileirão Série A

Fluminense

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Nonato Midfielder78100.9652.9+3.3
Everaldo Forward800–52.1–
Renê Defender90010.1450.9+1.6
Fábio Goalkeeper9000–49.0−5.0
Jemmes Defender9000–46.8−2.8
Luciano Acosta Midfielder78100.1146.2−0.2
Matheus Martinelli Midfielder90000.0544.7−3.4
Santiago Moreno Forward1200–43.4–
John Kennedy Forward89000.6039.3−2.4
Juan Pablo Freytes Defender9000–35.3−9.0
Samuel Xavier Defender9000–34.7−7.7
Facundo Bernal Midfielder1200–32.2–
Kevin Serna Midfielder79000.0432.1−15.9
Agustín Canobbio Midfielder86000.5529.7−23.6
Jefferson Savarino Midfielder1100–25.7–
Ganso Midfielder1200–16.3–

Grêmio

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Cristian Pavón Midfielder30000.04100.0–
Willian Midfielder2900–77.0–
Gustavo Martins Defender90010.5165.9+18.4
Tetê Forward74000.0761.1+8.9
Marlon Defender9000–60.6+9.0
Carlos Vinícius Forward86100.7160.2+4.1
André Henrique Forward1200–56.0–
Marcos Rocha Defender45000.0556.0+11.8
Weverton Goalkeeper9000–49.8−2.0
Dodi Midfielder6100–48.7+4.5
Edenilson Midfielder90000.1847.5+0.1
Arthur Midfielder9000–46.4−2.8
Wagner Leonardo Defender9000–44.2−3.3
João Pedro Defender4500–43.9–
José Enamorado Forward16000.0441.5–
Francis Amuzu Midfielder6000–36.4−9.0