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Palmeiras
Carlos Miguel

Carlos Miguel

Goalkeeper · Palmeiras · 28 · Brazil

262 on the breakout watchlist Compare with others

Season score
53.3
Brasileiro Serie A 2026, 30 matches
Last 5 weeks
46.0
average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value
€9.0M
+€2.0M (+29%) since 26 May 2026
Transfermarkt, 28 Sep 2026

Photo: NullReason, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Born
9 Oct 1998
Height
204 cm
Foot
L
Contract until
31 Jul 2030
Wikipedia views
965 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 20–26 Oct 2026

34 of 69 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 52.0 (minutes-weighted); 2 of them 70 or better.

no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table
WeekMatchesMinutesScoreExpectedUnderlying
20–26 Oct 202619038.149.438.1
13–19 Oct 2026218543.849.443.8
6–12 Oct 2026218046.050.446.0
15–21 Sep 2026218045.750.545.7
8–14 Sep 2026218052.750.952.7
1–7 Sep 2026218551.650.951.6
25–31 Aug 2026218054.350.554.3
18–24 Aug 2026218753.850.153.8
11–17 Aug 2026218044.550.744.5
4–10 Aug 2026218040.251.640.2
28 Jul – 3 Aug 2026218055.752.055.7
21–27 Jul 2026218051.752.451.7
26 May – 1 Jun 202619040.453.040.4
19–25 May 2026218051.853.151.8
12–18 May 202619055.953.255.9
5–11 May 2026218058.953.058.9
28 Apr – 4 May 2026218055.352.755.3
21–27 Apr 2026218054.752.254.7
14–20 Apr 2026218051.452.451.4
7–13 Apr 2026218053.752.453.7
31 Mar – 6 Apr 2026218052.152.952.1
17–23 Mar 2026218051.353.251.3
10–16 Mar 2026218052.753.552.7
24 Feb – 2 Mar 202619060.453.460.4
10–16 Feb 202619055.153.555.1
3–9 Feb 202619049.154.049.1
27 Jan – 2 Feb 202619044.654.944.6
2–8 Dec 202519075.153.375.1
18–24 Nov 2025218054.953.154.9
11–17 Nov 202519056.253.256.2
4–10 Nov 2025218054.553.354.5
28 Oct – 3 Nov 202519083.649.383.6
21–27 Oct 202519061.347.461.3
14–20 Oct 202519031.750.031.7

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: −2.9 a week below expectation.

20.040.060.080.0100.014 Oct18 Nov24 Feb14 Apr19 May11 Aug15 SepExpected 49.4Score 38.1
262

On the breakout watchlist

A 24% chance of breaking out within a year, on how players like them went before. Underlying 52.4 over 4,967 minutes in the last year, down 3.9 over the last 10 weeks. Valued €9.0M against €5.0M expected. See the list

Market value

Where these come from
Transfermarkt €9.0M +€2.0M (+29%) since 26 May 2026 28 Sep 2026 · its own valuation, revised a few times a year
Current estimate €9.8M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh
Next summer, if it goes like similar cases €5.4M–€9.4M −13% median of 40 similar past cases; players the same age −20% Closest cases, what their Transfermarkt value then did in a year: Rasmus Kristensen at 27 (€10.0M, scoring 52.0) +0%; Lucas Perri at 27 (€10.0M, scoring 50.7) +0%; Atakan Karazor at 28 (€12.0M, scoring 50.8) −33%.
0€2.5M€5.0M€7.5M€10M2020202120222023202420252026€9.0M€9.8M
Every value as a table
DateSourceValue
22 Oct 2026Current estimate (BSD)€9.8M
28 Sep 2026Transfermarkt€9.0M
26 May 2026Transfermarkt€7.0M
12 Mar 2026Transfermarkt€5.0M
10 Dec 2025Transfermarkt€4.0M
30 May 2025Transfermarkt€4.0M
16 Dec 2024Transfermarkt€4.0M
17 Jun 2024Transfermarkt€4.0M
28 Mar 2024Transfermarkt€3.0M
11 Dec 2023Transfermarkt€3.0M
25 Jul 2023Transfermarkt€1.0M
7 Apr 2023Transfermarkt€1.0M
14 Nov 2022Transfermarkt€700k
19 Aug 2022Transfermarkt€500k
6 Apr 2022Transfermarkt€500k
17 Dec 2021Transfermarkt€300k
18 Feb 2019Transfermarkt€50k

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

Moves

All transfers
DateMoveFee
19 Aug 2025Nott'm Forest Palmeiras€5.5M
9 Jul 2024Corinthians Nott'm Forest€4.0M
31 Aug 2021Inter B CorinthiansFree or loan

What the score is made of

Brasileiro Serie A 2026: each part per 90 minutes against the average goalkeeper in the top five leagues (0), in standard deviations.

  • Shot stopping +0.46
  • Claiming +0.45
  • Sweeping −0.53
  • Distribution −0.83

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

01.0K2.0K3.0K28 Oct16 Dec3 Feb24 Mar12 May30 Jun18 Aug6 Oct

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level
PlayerRecent scoreValue nowLikeness
Carlos Miguel Palmeiras · 2849.9€9.0M-Infinity%Compare
Scott Bain Falkirk FC · 34 · cheaper52.1€100kNaN%Compare
Jack James Walton Dundee United · 28 · cheaper47.3€600kNaN%Compare
Beau Reus Heart of Midlothian · 24 · cheaper47.8€1.5MNaN%Compare
Ivor Pandur Rangers · 2654.3€5.5MNaN%Compare
Alex Paulsen Motherwell · 24 · cheaper51.9€500kNaN%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Carlos Miguel.

Seasons

SeasonCompetitionTeamMatchesMinutesScoreUnderlying
Brasileiro Serie A 2026Brasileirão Série APalmeiras302,71753.353.3
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras121,08045.945.9
Copa do Brasil 2026Copa do BrasilPalmeiras545047.447.4
Brasileiro Serie A 2025Brasileirão Série APalmeiras981058.558.5

Latest matches

56 since July 2025
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
22 Oct 2026Copa LibertadoresFluminenseL 0–19000–0.0038.1
17 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série Aat AthleticoW 2–09500–0.0056.7
15 Oct 2026Copa Libertadoresat FluminenseW 2–19000–0.0030.3
11 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série ACorinthiansW 4–19000–0.0044.6
9 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série ABahiaW 1–09000–0.0047.4
20 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série Aat GrêmioD 0–09000–0.0059.5
16 Sep 2026Copa Libertadoresat LDUL 2–39000–0.0031.9
12 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série ASão PauloW 2–09000–0.0054.8
9 Sep 2026Copa LibertadoresLDUW 1–09000–0.0050.6
6 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série Aat BotafogoD 0–09500–0.0052.1
All 56 matches
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
22 Oct 2026Copa LibertadoresFluminenseL 0–19000–0.0038.1
17 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série Aat AthleticoW 2–09500–0.0056.7
15 Oct 2026Copa Libertadoresat FluminenseW 2–19000–0.0030.3
11 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série ACorinthiansW 4–19000–0.0044.6
9 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série ABahiaW 1–09000–0.0047.4
20 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série Aat GrêmioD 0–09000–0.0059.5
16 Sep 2026Copa Libertadoresat LDUL 2–39000–0.0031.9
12 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série ASão PauloW 2–09000–0.0054.8
9 Sep 2026Copa LibertadoresLDUW 1–09000–0.0050.6
6 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série Aat BotafogoD 0–09500–0.0052.1
3 Sep 2026Copa do Brasilat SantosD 0–09000–0.0051.1
30 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série Aat MirassolD 1–19000–0.0056.5
27 Aug 2026Copa do BrasilSantosW 3–09000–0.0052.2
23 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série AVasco da GamaW 4–19700–0.0056.6
19 Aug 2026Copa Libertadoresat Cerro PorteñoW 1–09000–0.0050.8
15 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série Aat FluminenseL 2–39000–0.0142.0
12 Aug 2026Copa LibertadoresCerro PorteñoD 1–19000–0.0046.9
9 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série AInternacionalD 0–09000–0.0050.1
6 Aug 2026Copa do Brasilat FortalezaL 2–39000–0.0030.3
2 Aug 2026Copa do BrasilFortalezaW 3–09000–0.0056.4
30 Jul 2026Brasileirão Série Aat VitóriaW 4–09000–0.0054.9
26 Jul 2026Brasileirão Série AAtlético MineiroL 1–29000–0.0041.0
22 Jul 2026Brasileirão Série Aat CoritibaW 3–19000–0.0062.3
28 May 2026Copa LibertadoresJunior BarranquillaW 4–19000–0.0040.4
24 May 2026Brasileirão Série Aat FlamengoW 3–09000–0.0056.8
21 May 2026Copa LibertadoresCerro PorteñoL 0–19000–0.0046.7
17 May 2026Brasileirão Série ACruzeiroD 1–19000–0.0055.9
10 May 2026Brasileirão Série Aat RemoD 1–19000–0.0052.9
5 May 2026Copa Libertadoresat Club Sporting CristalW 2–09000–0.0064.9
2 May 2026Brasileirão Série ASantosD 1–19000–0.0051.6
30 Apr 2026Copa Libertadoresat Cerro PorteñoD 1–19000–0.0059.0
26 Apr 2026Brasileirão Série Aat Red Bull BragantinoW 1–09000–0.0062.6
23 Apr 2026Copa do BrasilJacuipenseW 3–09000––46.8
19 Apr 2026Brasileirão Série AAthleticoW 1–09000–0.0056.9
16 Apr 2026Copa LibertadoresClub Sporting CristalW 2–19000–0.0045.9
12 Apr 2026Brasileirão Série Aat CorinthiansD 0–09000–0.0061.7
9 Apr 2026Copa Libertadoresat Junior BarranquillaD 1–19000–0.0045.7
5 Apr 2026Brasileirão Série Aat BahiaW 2–19000–0.0051.8
3 Apr 2026Brasileirão Série AGrêmioW 2–19000–0.0052.3
22 Mar 2026Brasileirão Série Aat São PauloW 1–09000–0.0054.3
18 Mar 2026Brasileirão Série ABotafogoW 2–19000–0.0048.4
15 Mar 2026Brasileirão Série AMirassolW 1–09000–0.0059.3
12 Mar 2026Brasileirão Série Aat Vasco da GamaL 1–29000–0.0046.0
26 Feb 2026Brasileirão Série AFluminenseW 2–19000–0.0060.4
13 Feb 2026Brasileirão Série Aat InternacionalW 3–19000–0.0055.1
5 Feb 2026Brasileirão Série AVitóriaW 5–19000–0.0049.1
28 Jan 2026Brasileirão Série Aat Atlético MineiroD 2–29000–0.0044.6
4 Dec 2025Brasileirão Série Aat Atlético MineiroW 3–09000–0.0075.1
23 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série AFluminenseD 0–09000–0.0059.7
19 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série AVitóriaD 0–09000–0.0050.1
16 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série Aat SantosL 0–19000–0.0056.2
9 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série Aat MirassolL 1–29000–0.0054.4
7 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série ASantosW 2–09000–0.0054.7
2 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série Aat JuventudeW 2–09000–0.0083.6
26 Oct 2025Brasileirão Série ACruzeiroD 0–09000–0.0061.3
19 Oct 2025Brasileirão Série Aat FlamengoL 2–39000–0.0031.7