Brasileiro Serie A 2026 · 12 Mar 2026

Vasco da Gama 2–1 Palmeiras

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: Vasco da Gama 39%, the draw 28%, Palmeiras 34%.

Vasco da Gama won a close one on the chances: 1.0 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Cuiabano, 70.1 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Cuiabano +23.5, Nuno Moreira +22.1, Marlon Freitas +9.1.

Well below it: Felipe Anderson −15.5, Andreas Pereira −12.9, Ramón Sosa −12.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

26 Feb 2026	L 1–2	at Santos Brasileirão Série A
12 Feb 2026	L 0–1	v Bahia Brasileirão Série A
5 Feb 2026	D 1–1	v Chapecoense Brasileirão Série A
29 Jan 2026	L 1–2	at Mirassol Brasileirão Série A
7 Dec 2025	L 0–5	at Atlético Mineiro Brasileirão Série A

26 Feb 2026	W 2–1	v Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
13 Feb 2026	W 3–1	at Internacional Brasileirão Série A
5 Feb 2026	W 5–1	v Vitória Brasileirão Série A
28 Jan 2026	D 2–2	at Atlético Mineiro Brasileirão Série A
7 Dec 2025	W 3–1	at Ceará Brasileirão Série A

1 Oct 2025	Palmeiras 3–0 Vasco da Gama Brasileirão Série A

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Johan Rojas Midfielder	33	0	0	0.04	71.4	–
Cuiabano Defender	45	1	0	0.21	70.1	+23.5
Nuno Moreira Midfielder	57	0	0	0.03	68.4	+22.1
Thiago Mendes Midfielder	90	1	0	0.28	58.5	+7.2
Cauan Barros Midfielder	12	0	0	–	54.4	–
Andrés Gómez Midfielder	90	0	0	0.22	51.7	+0.0
Alan Saldivia Defender	90	0	0	0.01	50.3	–
Paulo Henrique Defender	90	0	1	–	48.2	−5.3
Léo Jardim Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	47.7	−1.0
Adson Forward	33	0	0	0.05	46.8	–
Hugo Moura Midfielder	78	0	0	–	46.7	−0.1
Robert Renan Defender	90	0	0	–	44.6	−3.5
Claudio Spinelli Forward	21	0	0	–	44.2	–
Tchê Tchê Midfielder	57	0	0	0.15	41.4	−4.5
David Forward	69	0	1	–	40.8	−8.2
Lucas Piton Defender	45	0	0	–	36.0	−7.5

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Gustavo Gómez Defender	90	0	0	0.03	58.3	+4.5
Marlon Freitas Midfielder	90	0	1	–	55.0	+9.1
José Manuel López Forward	69	1	0	0.05	54.5	+3.9
Jhon Arias Midfielder	90	0	0	–	54.4	+7.1
Lucas Evangelista Midfielder	18	0	0	–	48.7	–
Arthur Gabriel Defender	8	0	0	–	47.7	–
Khellven Defender	72	0	0	–	46.8	+4.0
Bruno Fuchs Defender	90	0	0	–	46.6	−3.0
Carlos Miguel Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	46.0	−9.9
Jefté Defender	82	0	0	–	43.9	−7.0
Andreas Pereira Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	43.6	−12.9
Luighi Hanri Forward	21	0	0	0.03	41.9	–
Allan Midfielder	21	0	0	0.46	40.9	–
Ramón Sosa Forward	72	0	0	–	40.7	−12.3
Felipe Anderson Midfielder	69	0	0	0.02	40.6	−15.5
Agustín Giay Defender	18	0	0	–	32.7	–