CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Semifinals · 22 Oct 2026

Palmeiras 0–1 Fluminense

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Palmeiras favourites at 55%.

Fluminense won a close one on the chances: 0.2 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Thiago Silva, 62.3 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Agustín Giay +11.7, Hércules +11.2.

Well below it: Jefferson Savarino −12.8, Guga −9.9, Carlos Miguel −9.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

17 Oct 2026	W 2–0	at Athletico Brasileirão Série A
15 Oct 2026	W 2–1	at Fluminense Copa Libertadores
11 Oct 2026	W 4–1	v Corinthians Brasileirão Série A
9 Oct 2026	W 1–0	v Bahia Brasileirão Série A
20 Sep 2026	D 0–0	at Grêmio Brasileirão Série A

18 Oct 2026	L 1–2	v Santos Brasileirão Série A
15 Oct 2026	L 1–2	v Palmeiras Copa Libertadores
11 Oct 2026	L 0–1	at Flamengo Brasileirão Série A
9 Oct 2026	W 4–0	v Coritiba Brasileirão Série A
20 Sep 2026	W 3–1	at Corinthians Brasileirão Série A

15 Oct 2026	Fluminense 1–2 Palmeiras Copa Libertadores
15 Aug 2026	Fluminense 3–2 Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A
26 Feb 2026	Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
23 Nov 2025	Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
23 Jul 2025	Fluminense 1–2 Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Mauricio Midfielder	12	0.03	64.0	–
Agustín Giay Defender	87	0.11	59.1	+11.7
Lucas Evangelista Midfielder	90	–	56.2	+7.3
Marlon Freitas Midfielder	90	0.02	55.5	+1.3
Andreas Pereira Midfielder	83	0.14	50.0	+3.1
Gustavo Gómez Defender	90	–	49.1	−4.8
Ramón Sosa Forward	28	0.17	47.1	–
Murilo Defender	90	–	46.9	+1.8
Joaquín Piquerez Defender	90	0.04	45.8	+2.2
Jhon Arias Midfielder	87	0.02	45.3	−7.8
Alexander Barboza Defender	90	0.03	44.9	−9.7
José Manuel López Forward	62	–	40.9	−9.4
Paulinho Forward	8	–	39.3	–
Carlos Miguel Goalkeeper	90	–	38.1	−9.9
Khellven Defender	8	–	35.6	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Wesley Natã Midfielder	11	0	1	–	87.5	–
Julián Millán Defender	31	0	0	–	74.4	–
Thiago Silva Defender	90	0	0	0.03	62.3	+4.3
Hércules Midfielder	90	1	0	0.05	57.3	+11.2
Ignácio Defender	59	0	0	–	56.2	−1.6
Luciano Acosta Midfielder	8	0	0	–	52.5	–
Guilherme Arana Defender	90	0	0	0.07	52.2	+5.3
Nonato Midfielder	90	0	0	–	51.4	−1.9
Ganso Midfielder	87	0	0	–	49.4	−3.3
Kevin Serna Midfielder	45	0	0	–	48.5	−2.6
Fábio Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	48.5	−0.5
Hulk Forward	90	0	0	0.03	46.2	−7.8
Agustín Canobbio Midfielder	79	0	0	–	46.1	−2.5
Guga Defender	79	0	0	–	40.1	−9.9
Jefferson Savarino Midfielder	45	0	0	–	36.4	−12.8
Samuel Xavier Defender	11	0	0	–	34.2	–