FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Brasileiro Serie A 2026 · 11 Oct 2026

Flamengo 1–0 Fluminense

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.7 – 0.7
Actual xG
1.6 – 0.7
Goals
1 – 0

Footybot made Flamengo favourites at 62%.

Flamengo won and made the better chances: 1.6 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Agustín Canobbio, 64.8 in 69′.

Well above their usual level: Guilherme Arana +19.2, Agustín Canobbio +17.4, Luciano Acosta +15.6.

Well below it: Guillermo Varela −9.3.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Flamengo

8 Oct 2026D 2–2at Santos Brasileirão Série A
20 Sep 2026W 2–1v Red Bull Bragantino Brasileirão Série A
18 Sep 2026D 1–1v Independiente del Valle Copa Libertadores
13 Sep 2026W 2–1v Corinthians Brasileirão Série A
11 Sep 2026W 2–0at Independiente del Valle Copa Libertadores

Fluminense

9 Oct 2026W 4–0v Coritiba Brasileirão Série A
20 Sep 2026W 3–1at Corinthians Brasileirão Série A
15 Sep 2026L 1–2at Club Atlético Platense Copa Libertadores
12 Sep 2026L 1–3at Atlético Mineiro Brasileirão Série A
8 Sep 2026W 2–0v Club Atlético Platense Copa Libertadores

Head to head

12 Apr 2026Fluminense 1–2 Flamengo Brasileirão Série A
20 Nov 2025Fluminense 2–1 Flamengo Brasileirão Série A
20 Jul 2025Flamengo 1–0 Fluminense Brasileirão Série A

Flamengo

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Gonzalo Plata Midfielder1100–74.6–
Jorge Carrascal Midfielder89100.2862.1+4.0
Lucas Paquetá Midfielder79010.3559.3+3.1
Léo Ortiz Defender90000.1157.5+7.6
Agustín Rossi Goalkeeper9000–55.8+6.6
Samuel Lino Midfielder79000.1755.6+0.1
Nicolás de la Cruz Midfielder11000.0754.8–
Saúl Ñíguez Midfielder64000.0148.8−2.3
Léo Pereira Defender90000.0848.6−3.7
Erick Pulgar Midfielder90000.0247.5−7.0
Pedro Guilherme Forward64000.5345.2−6.9
Bruno Henrique Forward2600–41.5–
Joaquín Freitas Forward26000.0341.3–
Alex Sandro Defender9000–40.1−7.4
Guillermo Varela Defender9000–36.2−9.3
Danilo Defender1000–30.8–

Fluminense

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Ganso Midfielder3000–83.2–
Agustín Canobbio Midfielder6900–64.8+17.4
Luciano Acosta Midfielder6000–64.6+15.6
Guilherme Arana Defender90000.0261.9+19.2
Samuel Xavier Defender9000–57.4+10.8
Matheus Martinelli Midfielder78000.1256.8+4.0
Kevin Serna Midfielder30000.2056.6–
Nonato Midfielder9000–53.4+2.8
Rodrigo Castillo Forward69000.2552.8+7.0
Ignácio Defender90000.0952.3−5.8
Jefferson Savarino Midfielder2100–51.5–
Wesley Natã Midfielder1200–51.5–
Julián Millán Defender9000–50.1−0.8
Fábio Goalkeeper9000–48.9+0.5
Yeferson Soteldo Midfielder6000–44.7−1.6
Hulk Forward21000.0644.4–