Fluminense 1–3 Vasco da Gama
Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 20% · Standout: Adson scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Robert Renan
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.4 – 0.8
- Actual xG
- 0.8 – 1.5
- Goals
- 1 – 3
Footybot made Fluminense favourites at 53%.
Vasco da Gama won and made the better chances: 1.5 xG to 0.8.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Brenner, 70.9 in 70′.
Well above their usual level: Brenner +23.0, Nonato +13.0, Léo Jardim +12.6.
Well below it: Fábio −21.5, Jefferson Savarino −17.1, Nuno Moreira −13.6.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Fluminense
| 1 Aug 2026 | D 0–0 | at Vasco da Gama |
| 30 Jul 2026 | D 0–0 | v Bahia |
| 26 Jul 2026 | D 1–1 | at Grêmio |
| 17 Jul 2026 | D 1–1 | v Red Bull Bragantino |
| 31 May 2026 | D 1–1 | at Cruzeiro |
Vasco da Gama
| 1 Aug 2026 | D 0–0 | v Fluminense |
| 29 Jul 2026 | W 1–0 | v Independiente Medellín |
| 25 Jul 2026 | D 1–1 | v Mirassol |
| 22 Jul 2026 | D 2–2 | at Independiente Medellín |
| 16 Jul 2026 | L 0–1 | at Vitória |
Head to head
| 1 Aug 2026 | Vasco da Gama 0–0 Fluminense |
| 19 Mar 2026 | Vasco da Gama 3–2 Fluminense |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Fluminense 1–0 Vasco da Gama |
| 11 Dec 2025 | Vasco da Gama 2–1 Fluminense |
| 20 Oct 2025 | Vasco da Gama 2–0 Fluminense |
Fluminense
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yeferson Soteldo | 2 | 98.8 | – |
| Hulk | 33 | 67.1 | – |
| Nonato | 45 | 67.1 | +13.0 |
| Matheus Martinelli | 90 | 62.8 | +12.4 |
| Ganso | 33 | 59.9 | – |
| Igor Rabello | 90 | 53.8 | +3.6 |
| Hércules | 90 | 49.6 | +3.1 |
| Ignácio | 90 | 49.3 | −7.4 |
| Agustín Canobbio | 57 | 46.4 | −5.0 |
| Guga | 90 | 40.4 | −7.1 |
| Luciano Acosta | 57 | 40.4 | −9.7 |
| John Kennedy | 57 | 39.1 | −9.8 |
| Germán Cano | 33 | 37.2 | – |
| Guilherme Arana | 88 | 36.3 | −11.0 |
| Jefferson Savarino | 45 | 34.3 | −17.1 |
| Fábio | 90 | 29.5 | −21.5 |
Vasco da Gama
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adson | 9 | 100.0 | – |
| Puma Rodríguez | 1 | 100.0 | – |
| Brenner | 70 | 70.9 | +23.0 |
| David | 20 | 70.3 | – |
| Paulo Henrique | 90 | 63.1 | +10.4 |
| Thiago Mendes | 90 | 61.5 | +8.9 |
| Léo Jardim | 90 | 60.4 | +12.6 |
| Cuiabano | 90 | 58.5 | +6.9 |
| Cauan Barros | 9 | 53.9 | – |
| Andrés Gómez | 89 | 53.1 | +6.8 |
| Jair | 81 | 51.8 | −5.7 |
| Robert Renan | 90 | 46.1 | −3.9 |
| Carlos Cuesta | 90 | 43.9 | −3.2 |
| Ramon Rique | 20 | 40.4 | – |
| Tchê Tchê | 70 | 39.9 | −2.5 |
| Nuno Moreira | 81 | 36.7 | −13.6 |