Bahia 1–0 Vasco da Gama
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.8 – 1.0
- Actual xG
- 2.7 – 0.4
- Goals
- 1 – 0
Footybot made Bahia favourites at 55%.
Bahia won and made the better chances: 2.7 xG to 0.4.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Paulo Henrique, 59.6 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Andrés Gómez +8.4.
Well below it: Everton Ribeiro −19.7, Willian José −13.4, Jean Lucas −10.0.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Bahia
| 20 Nov 2025 | L 2–3 | v Fortaleza |
| 8 Nov 2025 | D 2–2 | at Internacional |
| 5 Nov 2025 | L 0–3 | at Atlético Mineiro |
| 2 Nov 2025 | W 2–1 | v Red Bull Bragantino |
| 26 Oct 2025 | L 0–2 | at São Paulo |
Vasco da Gama
| 20 Nov 2025 | L 0–2 | at Grêmio |
| 8 Nov 2025 | L 1–3 | v Juventude |
| 5 Nov 2025 | L 0–3 | at Botafogo |
| 2 Nov 2025 | L 0–2 | v São Paulo |
| 26 Oct 2025 | W 3–0 | at Red Bull Bragantino |
Head to head
| 24 Sep 2025 | Vasco da Gama 3–1 Bahia |
Bahia
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michel Araújo | 20 | 56.3 | – |
| Caio Alexandre | 15 | 55.1 | – |
| Erick Pulga | 84 | 54.4 | +7.8 |
| Ronaldo | 90 | 51.5 | +4.0 |
| Ademir | 90 | 51.2 | +2.0 |
| Nicolás Acevedo | 87 | 50.4 | +1.3 |
| Santiago Ramos Mingo | 84 | 48.6 | −2.5 |
| Luciano Juba | 90 | 48.0 | −6.9 |
| Kanu | 90 | 46.2 | – |
| Santiago Arias | 90 | 42.8 | −6.7 |
| Tiago Souza | 20 | 41.6 | – |
| Willian José | 78 | 41.5 | −13.4 |
| Everton Ribeiro | 70 | 38.3 | −19.7 |
| Jean Lucas | 70 | 35.7 | −10.0 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 12 | 27.9 | – |
| Cauly | 12 | 26.1 | – |
Vasco da Gama
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Freitas | 20 | 61.5 | – |
| Mateus Carvalho | 8 | 60.4 | – |
| Paulo Henrique | 90 | 59.6 | +3.9 |
| Léo Jardim | 90 | 56.2 | +4.6 |
| Andrés Gómez | 90 | 55.7 | +8.4 |
| David | 23 | 54.1 | – |
| Robert Renan | 82 | 52.4 | +4.5 |
| Rayan | 90 | 51.4 | −0.5 |
| Hugo Moura | 82 | 49.8 | +0.5 |
| Cauan Barros | 87 | 44.0 | −8.8 |
| Matheus França | 45 | 43.9 | −7.4 |
| Carlos Cuesta | 90 | 43.2 | −3.7 |
| Lucas Piton | 90 | 42.7 | −2.5 |
| Nuno Moreira | 70 | 41.4 | −9.2 |
| Tchê Tchê | 12 | 41.0 | – |
| Pablo Vegetti | 8 | 39.9 | – |