Brasileiro Serie A 2025 · 20 Nov 2025

Bahia 2–3 Fortaleza

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Bahia favourites at 58%.

Fortaleza won although Bahia made the better chances (3.8 xG to 1.9): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: José Herrera, 76.0 in 86′.

Well above their usual level: José Herrera +25.3, Tiago Souza +20.9, Tomás Pochettino +19.2.

Well below it: Ronaldo −16.7, Luciano Juba −10.2, Eros Mancuso −9.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

8 Nov 2025	D 2–2	at Internacional Brasileirão Série A
5 Nov 2025	L 0–3	at Atlético Mineiro Brasileirão Série A
2 Nov 2025	W 2–1	v Red Bull Bragantino Brasileirão Série A
26 Oct 2025	L 0–2	at São Paulo Brasileirão Série A
22 Oct 2025	W 1–0	v Internacional Brasileirão Série A

12 Nov 2025	D 3–3	at Atlético Mineiro Brasileirão Série A
9 Nov 2025	D 2–2	v Grêmio Brasileirão Série A
6 Nov 2025	D 1–1	at Ceará Brasileirão Série A
1 Nov 2025	D 1–1	at Santos Brasileirão Série A
25 Oct 2025	W 1–0	v Flamengo Brasileirão Série A

19 Jul 2025	Fortaleza 1–1 Bahia Brasileirão Série A

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Kayky Forward	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
Tiago Souza Forward	45	1	0	1.40	68.1	+20.9
Cauly Midfielder	12	0	0	–	63.6	–
David Duarte Defender	60	0	0	0.29	59.3	+6.5
Willian José Forward	90	1	0	0.88	56.6	−0.1
Everton Ribeiro Midfielder	30	0	0	–	55.9	–
Gilberto Defender	78	0	0	–	55.0	+4.0
Santiago Ramos Mingo Defender	90	0	0	0.04	54.7	+3.8
Ademir Forward	89	0	1	0.30	53.1	+4.2
Erick Midfielder	45	0	0	0.09	51.6	+2.4
Jean Lucas Midfielder	90	0	0	0.33	51.4	+5.8
Erick Pulga Forward	90	0	0	0.39	47.6	+1.1
Luciano Juba Defender	90	0	0	0.01	46.7	−10.2
Nicolás Acevedo Midfielder	45	0	0	0.02	45.6	−3.7
Caio Alexandre Midfielder	45	0	0	0.07	40.6	−6.3
Ronaldo Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	34.0	−16.7

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Deyverson Forward	19	1	0	0.23	91.5	–
José Herrera Midfielder	86	1	1	0.40	76.0	+25.3
Adam Bareiro Forward	71	1	0	1.01	68.0	+15.8
Tomás Pochettino Midfielder	71	0	1	0.06	65.1	+19.2
Brenno Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	60.6	+10.8
Breno Lopes Midfielder	78	0	1	–	58.7	+8.9
Lucas Gazal Defender	90	0	0	–	50.1	−4.7
Bruno Pacheco Defender	90	0	0	–	49.5	+3.1
Pierre Midfielder	90	0	0	–	45.3	−2.1
Matheus Pereira Midfielder	71	0	0	–	44.1	−0.7
Gastón Ávila Defender	90	0	0	–	41.9	−0.3
Pablo Midfielder	19	0	0	–	40.6	–
Allanzinho Midfielder	19	0	0	–	38.2	–
Yago Pikachu Midfielder	13	0	0	0.22	37.7	–
Matheus Rossetto Midfielder	12	0	0	–	37.4	–
Eros Mancuso Defender	90	0	0	–	34.0	−9.9