Vitória 1–2 Flamengo
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.1 – 1.3
- Actual xG
- 1.7 – 0.5
- Goals
- 1 – 2
Footybot made Flamengo favourites at 40%.
Flamengo won although Vitória made the better chances (1.7 xG to 0.5): a result the chances didn't back.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Emerson Royal, 57.0 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Renato Kayzer +11.0.
Well below it: Pedro Guilherme −13.2, Alex Sandro −11.8, Erick −11.4.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Vitória
| 5 Feb 2026 | L 1–5 | at Palmeiras |
| 28 Jan 2026 | W 2–0 | v Remo |
| 7 Dec 2025 | W 1–0 | v São Paulo |
| 3 Dec 2025 | L 0–4 | at Red Bull Bragantino |
| 29 Nov 2025 | W 2–0 | v Mirassol |
Flamengo
| 4 Feb 2026 | D 1–1 | v Internacional |
| 29 Jan 2026 | L 1–2 | at São Paulo |
| 6 Dec 2025 | D 3–3 | at Mirassol |
| 4 Dec 2025 | W 1–0 | v Ceará |
| 26 Nov 2025 | D 1–1 | at Atlético Mineiro |
Head to head
| 26 Aug 2025 | Flamengo 8–0 Vitória |
Vitória
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Silva | 1 | 63.5 | – |
| Renato Kayzer | 78 | 55.0 | +11.0 |
| Marinho | 23 | 50.8 | – |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 90 | 47.3 | +2.8 |
| Dudu | 79 | 47.2 | +3.3 |
| Matheuzinho | 67 | 47.1 | −3.6 |
| Luan Cândido | 90 | 43.4 | +0.9 |
| Emmanuel Martínez | 11 | 41.9 | – |
| Fabrício Santos | 12 | 41.6 | – |
| Camutanga | 90 | 40.2 | −4.2 |
| Caique Gonçalves | 90 | 39.8 | −5.1 |
| Erick | 67 | 39.5 | −11.4 |
| Nathan Mendes | 90 | 38.5 | −2.1 |
| Ramon | 89 | 34.6 | −7.8 |
| Gabriel | 90 | 34.2 | −8.1 |
| Aitor Cantalapiedra | 23 | 23.1 | – |
Flamengo
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson Royal | 90 | 57.0 | +2.4 |
| Everton Cebolinha | 65 | 55.4 | +0.9 |
| Jorge Carrascal | 34 | 55.0 | – |
| Erick Pulgar | 90 | 53.8 | +2.9 |
| Giorgian de Arrascaeta | 87 | 48.7 | −7.7 |
| Léo Pereira | 90 | 48.0 | −4.7 |
| Agustín Rossi | 90 | 45.9 | −1.7 |
| Léo Ortiz | 90 | 45.6 | −6.1 |
| Pedro Guilherme | 56 | 42.1 | −13.2 |
| Lucas Paquetá | 56 | 41.2 | −8.0 |
| Evertton Araujo | 65 | 39.8 | −9.1 |
| Alex Sandro | 90 | 38.4 | −11.8 |
| Gonzalo Plata | 34 | 37.2 | – |
| Nicolás de la Cruz | 25 | 34.6 | – |
| Bruno Henrique | 9 | 33.6 | – |
| Samuel Lino | 25 | 32.9 | – |