Brasileiro Serie A 2026 · 29 Jan 2026

São Paulo 2–1 Flamengo

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Flamengo favourites at 40%.

São Paulo won although Flamengo made the better chances (2.4 xG to 0.8): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Everton Cebolinha, 64.0 in 62′.

Well above their usual level: Everton Cebolinha +11.2, Gonzalo Plata +8.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

7 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at Vitória Brasileirão Série A
3 Dec 2025	W 3–0	v Internacional Brasileirão Série A
27 Nov 2025	L 0–6	at Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
23 Nov 2025	W 2–1	v Juventude Brasileirão Série A
20 Nov 2025	L 1–3	at Corinthians Brasileirão Série A

6 Dec 2025	D 3–3	at Mirassol Brasileirão Série A
4 Dec 2025	W 1–0	v Ceará Brasileirão Série A
26 Nov 2025	D 1–1	at Atlético Mineiro Brasileirão Série A
23 Nov 2025	W 3–0	v Red Bull Bragantino Brasileirão Série A
20 Nov 2025	L 1–2	at Fluminense Brasileirão Série A

6 Nov 2025	São Paulo 2–2 Flamengo Brasileirão Série A
12 Jul 2025	Flamengo 2–0 São Paulo Brasileirão Série A

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Pablo Maia Midfielder	13	0	0	–	65.6	–
Cédric Soares Midfielder	10	0	0	0.02	57.6	–
Rafael Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	56.3	+3.4
Luciano Forward	86	1	0	0.24	55.1	+4.4
Danielzinho Midfielder	86	1	0	0.30	52.9	+6.4
Robert Arboleda Defender	90	0	0	–	52.0	+1.5
Sabino Defender	90	0	0	–	46.2	−3.8
Damián Bobadilla Midfielder	90	0	0	0.15	45.7	+0.6
Marcos Antônio Midfielder	90	0	0	0.06	43.5	−2.6
Enzo Díaz Defender	90	0	1	0.02	43.1	−6.0
Jonathan Calleri Forward	89	0	0	–	43.1	–
Gonzalo Tapia Forward	8	0	0	–	40.3	–
Alan Javier Franco Defender	90	0	0	–	37.9	−8.4
Maik Defender	80	0	0	–	36.0	−6.0
Lucas Moura Forward	13	0	0	–	34.3	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Everton Cebolinha Midfielder	62	0	0	0.03	64.0	+11.2
Samuel Lino Midfielder	28	0	0	–	59.3	–
Jorge Carrascal Midfielder	62	0	0	0.63	58.2	−1.8
Pedro Guilherme Forward	56	0	1	0.03	53.1	−2.2
Gonzalo Plata Midfielder	90	1	0	0.85	51.8	+8.9
Léo Ortiz Defender	90	0	0	0.01	48.6	−4.5
Evertton Araujo Midfielder	56	0	0	0.09	47.3	−1.7
Erick Pulgar Midfielder	90	0	0	–	46.1	−6.7
Léo Pereira Defender	90	0	0	–	45.0	−7.7
Alex Sandro Defender	90	0	0	–	43.7	−6.1
Guillermo Varela Defender	90	0	0	–	43.5	−3.7
Agustín Rossi Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	39.5	−8.8
Jorginho Midfielder	43	0	0	–	39.4	–
Bruno Henrique Forward	28	0	0	0.09	38.6	–
Giorgian de Arrascaeta Midfielder	34	0	0	0.71	36.7	–