São Paulo 2–2 Bahia
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.5 – 1.0
- Actual xG
- 2.1 – 2.2
- Goals
- 2 – 2
Footybot made São Paulo favourites at 48%.
A draw the chances agree with: 2.1 xG to 2.2.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Luciano Juba, 76.0 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Luciano Juba +23.0, Everton Ribeiro +21.3, Erick +18.2.
Well below it: Alan Javier Franco −11.8, Sabino −10.9, Jonathan Calleri −10.9.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
São Paulo
| 29 Apr 2026 | D 0–0 | at Millonarios |
| 26 Apr 2026 | W 1–0 | v Mirassol |
| 21 Apr 2026 | W 1–0 | v Juventude |
| 18 Apr 2026 | L 1–2 | at Vasco da Gama |
| 14 Apr 2026 | W 2–0 | v O'Higgins |
Bahia
| 25 Apr 2026 | D 2–2 | v Santos |
| 22 Apr 2026 | L 1–3 | v Remo |
| 19 Apr 2026 | L 0–2 | at Flamengo |
| 11 Apr 2026 | W 2–1 | at Mirassol |
| 5 Apr 2026 | L 1–2 | v Palmeiras |
Head to head
| 26 Oct 2025 | São Paulo 2–0 Bahia |
São Paulo
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferreirinha | 19 | 88.3 | – |
| Cauly | 63 | 61.0 | +11.5 |
| Rafael | 90 | 55.0 | +4.6 |
| Lucas Ramon | 50 | 50.0 | +8.3 |
| Damián Bobadilla | 90 | 48.3 | +2.7 |
| Artur | 90 | 47.6 | +0.3 |
| Lucas Moura | 22 | 44.4 | – |
| Luciano | 71 | 44.2 | −5.3 |
| Danielzinho | 71 | 43.7 | −5.0 |
| Sabino | 90 | 39.1 | −10.9 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 90 | 37.9 | −10.9 |
| Alan Javier Franco | 90 | 36.2 | −11.8 |
| Wendell | 71 | 36.1 | −10.2 |
| Luan Santos | 19 | 36.0 | – |
| Enzo Díaz | 19 | 29.3 | – |
| Cédric Soares | 40 | 26.8 | – |
Bahia
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ademir | 8 | 91.5 | – |
| Luciano Juba | 90 | 76.0 | +23.0 |
| Everton Ribeiro | 82 | 73.1 | +21.3 |
| Erick | 90 | 65.7 | +18.2 |
| Mateo Sanabria | 34 | 59.7 | – |
| Michel Araújo | 8 | 56.9 | – |
| Léo Vieira | 90 | 56.8 | +4.1 |
| Nicolás Acevedo | 90 | 51.8 | +2.5 |
| David Duarte | 90 | 50.5 | −4.9 |
| Erick Pulga | 82 | 50.5 | +4.4 |
| Cristian Olivera | 56 | 47.5 | −1.3 |
| Willian José | 82 | 46.8 | −6.1 |
| Santiago Ramos Mingo | 90 | 45.1 | −0.6 |
| Jean Lucas | 82 | 42.0 | −5.4 |
| Everaldo | 8 | 39.9 | – |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 8 | 30.7 | – |