Mirassol 1–2 Bahia
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.8 – 1.0
- Actual xG
- 1.2 – 1.9
- Goals
- 1 – 2
Footybot made Mirassol favourites at 55%.
Bahia won and made the better chances: 1.9 xG to 1.2.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Léo Vieira, 69.9 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Léo Vieira +16.6, Luciano Juba +8.6.
Well below it: Igor Formiga −17.0, José Aldo −15.7, Negueba −14.6.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Mirassol
| 8 Apr 2026 | W 1–0 | v CA Lanús |
| 5 Apr 2026 | L 0–1 | v Red Bull Bragantino |
| 1 Apr 2026 | L 2–3 | at Botafogo |
| 22 Mar 2026 | L 0–1 | at Vitória |
| 18 Mar 2026 | L 0–1 | v Coritiba |
Bahia
| 5 Apr 2026 | L 1–2 | v Palmeiras |
| 1 Apr 2026 | W 3–0 | v Athletico |
| 22 Mar 2026 | L 1–4 | at Remo |
| 18 Mar 2026 | W 2–0 | v Red Bull Bragantino |
| 15 Mar 2026 | W 1–0 | at Internacional |
Head to head
| 31 Aug 2025 | Mirassol 5–1 Bahia |
Mirassol
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Pires | 14 | 56.5 | – |
| Reinaldo | 41 | 53.4 | – |
| Walter | 90 | 52.0 | +4.1 |
| João Victor | 90 | 48.9 | −2.3 |
| Neto Moura | 90 | 47.1 | +4.0 |
| Victor Luis | 49 | 46.6 | +3.4 |
| Lucas Oliveira | 90 | 42.5 | −9.6 |
| Edson Carioca | 60 | 40.2 | −8.4 |
| Nathan Fogaça | 45 | 40.1 | – |
| Alesson | 30 | 40.1 | – |
| Negueba | 90 | 40.0 | −14.6 |
| André Luis | 45 | 39.0 | – |
| José Aldo | 76 | 35.5 | −15.7 |
| Igor Formiga | 90 | 35.5 | −17.0 |
| Shaylon | 30 | 34.9 | – |
| Eduardo | 60 | 31.0 | −10.0 |
Bahia
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Sanabria | 21 | 100.0 | – |
| Léo Vieira | 90 | 69.9 | +16.6 |
| Luciano Juba | 90 | 61.5 | +8.6 |
| David Duarte | 90 | 58.7 | +4.6 |
| Everton Ribeiro | 80 | 54.2 | +3.5 |
| Gilberto | 45 | 50.7 | −0.7 |
| Jean Lucas | 90 | 50.1 | +3.8 |
| Cristian Olivera | 90 | 49.9 | +4.1 |
| Nicolás Acevedo | 90 | 49.1 | +2.3 |
| Willian José | 30 | 46.3 | – |
| Erick Pulga | 60 | 45.4 | +1.3 |
| Caio Alexandre | 45 | 44.7 | −3.7 |
| Santiago Ramos Mingo | 90 | 44.2 | −2.4 |
| Everaldo | 60 | 38.9 | −9.6 |
| Ademir | 9 | 36.2 | – |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 10 | 34.0 | – |