Brasileiro Serie A 2025 · 8 Oct 2025

Atlético Mineiro 3–1 Sport Recife

Picked for matchday: Chances everywhere: 4.5 xG · Standout: Hyoran scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Atlético Mineiro favourites at 61%.

Atlético Mineiro won although Sport Recife made the better chances (2.6 xG to 1.9): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lucas Lima, 94.6 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Lucas Lima +33.3, Aderlan +16.0, Bernard +15.3.

Well below it: Gabriel −22.4, Gustavo Scarpa −21.4, Igor Gomes −14.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

4 Oct 2025	L 0–3	at Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
1 Oct 2025	D 0–0	v Juventude Brasileirão Série A
28 Sep 2025	W 1–0	v Mirassol Brasileirão Série A
20 Sep 2025	L 0–1	at Botafogo Brasileirão Série A
14 Sep 2025	D 1–1	v Santos Brasileirão Série A

5 Oct 2025	D 1–1	at Cruzeiro Brasileirão Série A
1 Oct 2025	D 2–2	v Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
27 Sep 2025	L 0–1	at Fortaleza Brasileirão Série A
21 Sep 2025	W 1–0	v Corinthians Brasileirão Série A
14 Sep 2025	D 1–1	at Red Bull Bragantino Brasileirão Série A

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Bernard Midfielder	59	0	0	–	61.2	+15.3
Rony Forward	90	1	1	1.03	60.1	+13.6
Biel Forward	31	0	1	–	56.3	–
Hulk Forward	23	0	0	–	51.2	–
Vitor Hugo Defender	90	1	0	0.16	50.2	−5.3
Renzo Saravia Defender	90	0	0	–	49.3	–
Fausto Vera Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	48.3	−2.7
Everson Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	48.1	−4.7
Guilherme Arana Defender	67	1	0	0.35	42.7	−5.0
Caio Paulista Defender	23	0	0	–	40.3	–
Ruan Defender	72	0	0	–	39.4	–
Igor Gomes Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	37.6	−14.4
Dudu Forward	59	0	0	0.03	36.7	–
Lyanco Defender	18	0	0	–	35.7	–
Natanael Defender	31	0	0	–	29.7	–
Gustavo Scarpa Midfielder	67	0	0	0.18	27.4	−21.4

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Hyoran Midfielder	8	0	–	100.0	–
Lucas Lima Midfielder	45	0	0.23	94.6	+33.3
Romarinho Forward	45	0	0.05	83.9	–
Matheusinho Midfielder	90	0	0.96	62.9	+10.7
Derik Lacerda Forward	90	1	0.87	62.0	+9.5
Aderlan Defender	67	0	–	57.7	+16.0
Ramon Menezes Defender	90	0	0.14	53.4	+5.4
Christian Rivera Midfielder	90	0	0.01	51.4	+4.4
Matheus Alexandre Defender	23	0	–	50.4	–
Rafael Thyere Defender	90	0	0.27	47.9	+3.4
Luan Cândido Defender	90	0	–	47.7	−8.1
Rodrigo Atencio Forward	69	0	0.05	47.1	–
Zé Lucas Midfielder	45	0	–	46.4	+3.4
Sérgio Oliveira Midfielder	13	0	–	43.6	–
Igor Cariús Defender	45	0	0.04	34.2	−11.1
Gabriel Goalkeeper	90	0	–	32.5	−22.4