Saudi Pro League 25/26 · 17 Oct 2025

Al-Ahli 1–1 Al-Shabab

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Al-Ahli favourites at 56%.

Al-Ahli deserved more from the draw, creating 2.1 xG to 1.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Yannick Carrasco, 78.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Yannick Carrasco +21.0, Riyad Mahrez +13.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

26 Sep 2025	W 2–0	at Al-Hazem Saudi Pro League
19 Sep 2025	D 3–3	v Al-Hilal Saudi Pro League
12 Sep 2025	D 0–0	at Al-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League
28 Aug 2025	W 1–0	v Neom SC Saudi Pro League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Fahad Al-Rashidi Forward	1	0	–	66.1	–
Riyad Mahrez Midfielder	69	0	–	65.6	+13.1
Mohammed Abdulrahman Defender	15	0	–	60.9	–
Saleh Abu Al-Shamat Forward	21	0	–	58.3	–
Ivan Toney Forward	83	1	1.23	55.0	+7.0
Merih Demiral Defender	90	0	0.22	50.3	−7.2
Matheus Gonçalves Midfielder	90	0	0.21	46.1	+7.3
Enzo Millot Midfielder	89	0	0.01	45.5	+0.1
Ziyad Aljohani Midfielder	84	0	0.01	45.3	–
Ali Majrashi Defender	83	0	0.04	44.6	−6.4
Edouard Mendy Goalkeeper	90	0	–	44.2	−5.4
Franck Kessié Midfielder	90	0	0.31	41.8	−1.7
Rayan Hamed Defender	90	0	–	41.4	–
Eid Al Muwallad Midfielder	15	0	–	39.7	–
Matteo Dams Defender	90	0	0.02	39.4	–
Firas Al-Buraikan Forward	15	0	–	33.3	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Yannick Carrasco Midfielder	90	0	1	–	78.5	+21.0
Marcelo Grohe Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	53.4	+4.3
Josh Brownhill Midfielder	90	1	0	0.58	53.3	–
Yacine Adli Midfielder	89	0	0	0.05	50.2	+5.4
Vincent Sierro Midfielder	90	0	0	–	47.1	−2.0
Nawaf Al Ghulaimish Defender	90	0	0	0.12	44.7	–
Mohammed Al Shwirekh Defender	77	0	0	0.25	43.8	−1.6
Hammam Al-Hammami Midfielder	8	0	0	–	42.8	–
Mubarak Al-Rajeh Defender	90	0	0	–	41.2	+6.1
Wesley Hoedt Defender	90	0	0	0.15	39.3	−5.9
Saad Yaslam Balobaid Defender	90	0	0	0.07	37.7	−2.2
Faisal Al-Sibyani Midfielder	1	0	0	–	35.7	–
Unai Hernández Midfielder	82	0	0	–	34.9	–