Mirassol 3–0 Ceará
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.7 – 0.8
- Actual xG
- 0.4 – 1.2
- Goals
- 3 – 0
Footybot made Mirassol favourites at 59%.
Mirassol won although Ceará made the better chances (1.2 xG to 0.4): a result the chances didn't back.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lucas Mugni, 64.9 in 78′.
Well above their usual level: Fernandinho +13.7, Lucas Mugni +13.7.
Well below it: Bruno Ferreira −17.6, Carlos Eduardo −15.3, José Aldo −10.8.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Mirassol
| 20 Nov 2025 | D 1–1 | at Santos |
| 9 Nov 2025 | W 2–1 | v Palmeiras |
| 6 Nov 2025 | L 0–1 | at Fluminense |
| 1 Nov 2025 | D 0–0 | v Botafogo |
| 25 Oct 2025 | W 2–1 | at Sport Recife |
Ceará
| 21 Nov 2025 | L 1–2 | v Internacional |
| 9 Nov 2025 | W 1–0 | at Corinthians |
| 6 Nov 2025 | D 1–1 | v Fortaleza |
| 2 Nov 2025 | W 2–0 | v Fluminense |
| 29 Oct 2025 | L 0–1 | at Fluminense |
Head to head
| 23 Jul 2025 | Ceará 0–2 Mirassol |
Mirassol
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alesson | 23 | 85.9 | – |
| Chico | 8 | 76.3 | – |
| Walter | 90 | 58.3 | +7.1 |
| Negueba | 67 | 53.6 | +6.6 |
| Reinaldo | 90 | 51.6 | −2.7 |
| Cristian Renato | 23 | 49.0 | – |
| Jemmes | 90 | 48.9 | −5.0 |
| João Victor | 90 | 47.2 | −2.7 |
| Danielzinho | 90 | 46.6 | −0.1 |
| Yago Felipe | 8 | 45.4 | – |
| Lucas Ramon | 90 | 42.0 | −8.4 |
| Roni | 23 | 42.0 | – |
| Gabriel Santana | 82 | 41.4 | −8.5 |
| Carlos Eduardo | 89 | 40.8 | −15.3 |
| Chico da Costa | 67 | 38.9 | −7.2 |
| José Aldo | 67 | 38.1 | −10.8 |
Ceará
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo Baya | 12 | 100.0 | – |
| Lucas Mugni | 78 | 64.9 | +13.7 |
| Fernandinho | 73 | 59.6 | +13.7 |
| Lourenço | 12 | 53.1 | – |
| Marcos Victor | 90 | 52.5 | +5.9 |
| Vinicius Zanocelo | 90 | 51.2 | +2.0 |
| Dieguinho | 89 | 50.9 | +1.8 |
| Antonio Galeano | 78 | 47.7 | −2.9 |
| Willian Machado | 90 | 47.6 | −3.4 |
| Aylon | 45 | 45.2 | +0.9 |
| Rafael Ramos | 45 | 39.2 | −6.0 |
| Fabiano Souza | 90 | 39.2 | −4.7 |
| Pedro Henrique | 17 | 38.7 | – |
| Matheus Bahia | 90 | 36.8 | −9.0 |
| Bruno Ferreira | 90 | 34.6 | −17.6 |
| Matheus Araújo | 9 | 29.4 | – |