Saudi Pro League 25/26 · 28 Jan 2026

Al-Ahli 4–0 Al-Ettifaq

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Al-Ahli favourites at 68%.

Al-Ahli won and made the better chances: 4.9 xG to 0.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ivan Toney, 71.5 in 85′.

Well above their usual level: Ivan Toney +17.6, Abdullah Khateeb +13.1, Mohammed Abdulrahman +8.7.

Well below it: Marek Rodák −26.4, Riyad Mahrez −9.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

24 Jan 2026	W 3–0	at Neom SC Saudi Pro League
20 Jan 2026	W 4–1	v Al-Khaleej Saudi Pro League
17 Jan 2026	W 1–0	at Al-Kholood Saudi Pro League
14 Jan 2026	W 2–1	v Al-Taawoun Saudi Pro League
10 Jan 2026	W 1–0	at Al-Okhdood Saudi Pro League

24 Jan 2026	W 2–1	at Al-Kholood Saudi Pro League
21 Jan 2026	D 0–0	v Neom SC Saudi Pro League
16 Jan 2026	W 1–0	at Al-Ittihad Saudi Pro League
12 Jan 2026	L 1–2	v Al-Khaleej Saudi Pro League
8 Jan 2026	W 4–3	at Al-Najma SC Saudi Pro League

12 Sep 2025	Al-Ettifaq 0–0 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Ivan Toney Forward	85	3	1	2.89	71.5	+17.6
Eid Al Muwallad Midfielder	8	0	0	–	62.1	–
Edouard Mendy Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	54.8	+4.5
Ziyad Aljohani Midfielder	90	0	0	0.10	45.9	+2.4
Valentin Atangana Edoa Midfielder	90	1	0	1.63	45.6	+2.2
Riyad Mahrez Midfielder	85	0	1	0.04	43.3	−9.8
Mohammed Abdulrahman Defender	90	0	0	0.04	41.9	+8.7
Firas Al-Buraikan Forward	25	0	0	–	41.2	–
Franck Kessié Midfielder	90	0	0	–	40.9	−0.8
Roger Ibañez Defender	90	0	0	–	39.9	−3.9
Yazan Madani Defender	8	0	0	–	39.6	–
Wenderson Galeno Midfielder	65	0	0	0.02	39.1	−5.5
Enzo Millot Midfielder	73	0	0	–	38.7	−3.8
Rayan Hamed Defender	72	0	0	0.18	37.9	−5.3
Mohammed Sulaiman Bakor Defender	18	0	0	–	35.2	–
Saleh Abu Al-Shamat Forward	17	0	0	0.02	34.5	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Abdullah Khateeb Defender	90	–	55.0	+13.1
João Costa Midfielder	71	–	48.6	–
Khalid Al-Ghannam Forward	70	0.02	48.5	−2.6
Mohau Nkota Midfielder	34	–	47.5	–
Moussa Dembélé Forward	71	–	45.7	+0.0
Meshal Al-Sibyani Defender	53	–	44.6	–
Jack Hendry Defender	37	–	44.1	–
Mukhtar Ali Midfielder	90	–	43.3	−0.7
Radhi Al-Oteibi Defender	90	–	42.7	+7.5
Francisco Calvo Defender	90	0.10	41.8	−4.2
Faris Al Ghamdi Midfielder	56	0.03	39.4	−1.7
Georginio Wijnaldum Midfielder	90	0.09	38.5	−7.2
Abdullah Al Ghamdi Midfielder	19	–	37.8	–
Abdulrahman Nabza Midfielder	20	–	35.1	–
Marek Rodák Goalkeeper	90	–	28.9	−26.4
Majed Dawran Midfielder	19	–	27.8	–