Al-Shabab 3–5 Al-Hilal
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 0.9 – 1.5
- Actual xG
- 0.8 – 1.9
- Goals
- 3 – 5
Footybot made Al-Hilal favourites at 50%.
Al-Hilal won and made the better chances: 1.9 xG to 0.8.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Yacine Adli, 68.7 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Yacine Adli +27.5, Sultan Mandash +21.0, Ali Al-Bulaihi +18.3.
Well below it: Marcelo Grohe −23.2, Rúben Neves −14.9.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Al-Shabab
| 23 Feb 2026 | W 3–1 | v Al-Riyadh |
| 20 Feb 2026 | W 3–1 | at Damac FC |
| 13 Feb 2026 | L 2–5 | v Al-Ahli |
| 7 Feb 2026 | L 0–1 | at Al-Kholood |
| 1 Feb 2026 | W 1–0 | v Al-Fayha |
Al-Hilal
| 24 Feb 2026 | D 1–1 | at Al-Taawoun |
| 21 Feb 2026 | D 1–1 | v Al-Ittihad |
| 13 Feb 2026 | W 2–0 | v Al-Ettifaq |
| 5 Feb 2026 | W 6–0 | at Al-Okhdood |
| 2 Feb 2026 | D 0–0 | v Al-Ahli |
Head to head
| 31 Oct 2025 | Al-Hilal 1–0 Al-Shabab |
Al-Shabab
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yacine Adli | 90 | 68.7 | +27.5 |
| Ali Al-Bulaihi | 90 | 59.5 | +18.3 |
| Josh Brownhill | 90 | 53.9 | +10.9 |
| Abderazak Hamdallah | 90 | 52.5 | +6.3 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 90 | 51.9 | +8.3 |
| Saad Yaslam Balobaid | 90 | 45.5 | +4.2 |
| Mohammed Al-Thani | 90 | 45.2 | +10.6 |
| Yannick Carrasco | 90 | 45.1 | −5.0 |
| Vincent Sierro | 90 | 41.7 | −4.8 |
| Fawaz Al-Sagour | 60 | 34.8 | – |
| Hammam Al-Hammami | 30 | 34.1 | – |
| Marcelo Grohe | 90 | 25.5 | −23.2 |
Al-Hilal
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sultan Mandash | 69 | 67.0 | +21.0 |
| Mohamed Kanno | 69 | 64.7 | +13.5 |
| Marcos Leonardo | 79 | 57.3 | +12.5 |
| Kalidou Koulibaly | 90 | 52.8 | +3.3 |
| Moteb Al-Harbi | 79 | 50.1 | +3.2 |
| Saimon Bouabre | 90 | 49.9 | +6.2 |
| Malcom | 21 | 49.7 | – |
| Abdulkarim Darisi | 21 | 48.2 | – |
| Ali Lajami | 90 | 47.9 | – |
| Yassine Bounou | 90 | 44.0 | −6.8 |
| Rúben Neves | 52 | 42.9 | −14.9 |
| Murad Al Hawsawi | 38 | 42.8 | – |
| Sergej Milinković-Savić | 90 | 42.2 | −7.2 |
| Theo Hernández | 90 | 41.5 | +0.6 |
| Meshal Al Dawood | 11 | 36.0 | – |
| Salem Al-Dawsari | 11 | 30.7 | – |