FOOTYBOT
Matchday

World Cup Qualification, UEFA 2026, Semifinals · 26 Mar 2026

Ukraine 1–3 Sweden

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.9 – 0.7
Actual xG
–
Goals
1 – 3

Footybot made Ukraine favourites at 81%.

No xG was recorded for this match, so only the result can be read.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Carl Starfelt, 71.0 in 53′.

Well above their usual level: Carl Starfelt +17.8, Benjamin Nygren +9.6, Yehor Yarmoliuk +8.9.

Well below it: Anatoliy Trubin −19.2, Vitaliy Mykolenko −18.1, Anthony Elanga −16.0.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Ukraine

16 Nov 2025W 2–0v Iceland World Cup Qualification UEFA
13 Nov 2025L 0–4at France World Cup Qualification UEFA
13 Oct 2025W 2–1v Azerbaijan World Cup Qualification UEFA
10 Oct 2025W 5–3at Iceland World Cup Qualification UEFA
9 Sep 2025D 1–1at Azerbaijan World Cup Qualification UEFA

Sweden

18 Nov 2025D 1–1v Slovenia World Cup Qualification UEFA
15 Nov 2025L 1–4at Switzerland World Cup Qualification UEFA
13 Oct 2025L 0–1v Kosovo World Cup Qualification UEFA
10 Oct 2025L 0–2v Switzerland World Cup Qualification UEFA
8 Sep 2025L 0–2at Kosovo World Cup Qualification UEFA

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Ukraine

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Valerii Bondar Defender9000–57.3+3.2
Yehor Yarmoliuk Midfielder8500–56.7+8.9
Ilya Zabarnyi Defender9000–56.3+4.1
Oleh Ocheretko Midfielder3000–47.5–
Viktor Tsygankov Midfielder9000–47.0−2.3
Matvii Ponomarenko Forward1310–45.7–
Roman Yaremchuk Forward3000–45.6–
Georgiy Sudakov Midfielder7700–37.5−12.7
Oleksandr Tymchyk Defender9000–37.4−4.3
Oleksandr Zubkov Midfielder6000–36.9−12.7
Vladyslav Vanat Forward6000–36.8−11.9
Mykola Shaparenko Midfielder1100–33.7–
Vitaliy Mykolenko Defender9000–32.7−18.1
Anatoliy Trubin Goalkeeper9000–30.9−19.2

Sweden

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Mattias Svanberg Midfielder100–100.0–
Carl Starfelt Defender5300–71.0+17.8
Isak Hien Defender3700–68.5–
Benjamin Nygren Forward9001–60.7+9.6
Daniel Svensson Midfielder1300–56.6–
Gustaf Lagerbielke Defender9000–52.5+3.5
Victor Lindelöf Defender9000–49.8+3.3
Jesper Karlström Midfielder9000–47.3+3.7
Yasin Ayari Midfielder7700–44.2−5.6
Herman Johansson Midfielder9000–40.9−1.1
Viktor Gyökeres Forward9030–40.2−11.1
Gabriel Gudmundsson Midfielder7700–35.8−7.2
Anthony Elanga Forward8900–35.8−16.0
Lucas Bergvall Midfielder1300–29.9–