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Sporting Braga
Gustaf Lagerbielke

Gustaf Lagerbielke

Defender · Sporting Braga · 26 · Sweden

170 on the breakout watchlist Compare with others

Season score
50.1
Liga Portugal 26/27, 6 matches
Last 5 weeks
49.8
average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value
€10.0M
+€5.0M (+100%) since 18 Dec 2025
Transfermarkt, 28 May 2026

Photo: Bryan Berlin, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Born
10 Apr 2000
Height
193 cm
Foot
R
Contract until
30 Jun 2030
Wikipedia views
1,271 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 20–26 Oct 2026

40 of 69 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 52.7 (minutes-weighted); 1 of them 70 or better.

no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table
WeekMatchesMinutesScoreExpectedUnderlying
20–26 Oct 202619044.051.044.0
13–19 Oct 2026218062.050.062.4
8–14 Sep 2026217149.749.349.9
1–7 Sep 202619050.749.550.9
25–31 Aug 2026218040.350.440.5
18–24 Aug 202619040.251.340.6
4–10 Aug 202619848.251.648.2
30 Jun – 6 Jul 202619061.351.061.3
12–18 May 202619048.051.348.0
5–11 May 2026218048.351.348.2
28 Apr – 4 May 2026218049.552.249.5
21–27 Apr 202619060.851.660.8
14–20 Apr 2026218061.150.762.0
7–13 Apr 202619037.351.337.1
31 Mar – 6 Apr 2026218051.051.551.1
24–30 Mar 202619052.551.452.4
17–23 Mar 2026218052.551.152.4
10–16 Mar 202619053.851.253.8
3–9 Mar 202619050.351.350.3
24 Feb – 2 Mar 202619060.050.862.2
17–23 Feb 202619031.752.131.6
10–16 Feb 202619052.352.152.3
3–9 Feb 202619046.052.645.9
27 Jan – 2 Feb 2026218045.853.545.7
20–26 Jan 202619054.553.854.5
13–19 Jan 202618242.054.741.9
16–22 Dec 202519054.254.954.1
9–15 Dec 2025211966.554.767.8
2–8 Dec 202519058.254.161.1
25 Nov – 1 Dec 2025218053.054.153.3
18–24 Nov 202511356.954.656.6
11–17 Nov 202519069.853.768.9
4–10 Nov 2025218049.254.750.9
28 Oct – 3 Nov 202519076.853.376.9
21–27 Oct 2025218057.352.654.4
7–13 Oct 2025218061.951.961.3
30 Sep – 6 Oct 2025218061.450.261.4
23–29 Sep 2025218046.650.446.5
16–22 Sep 202519057.750.058.0
26 Aug – 1 Sep 202519055.949.455.8
19–25 Aug 202517840.850.140.7
12–18 Aug 202513643.950.443.8
5–11 Aug 202513540.250.840.1

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: level with expectation (−1.1 a week).

20.040.060.080.019 Aug7 Oct25 Nov20 Jan24 Feb31 Mar5 May25 AugExpected 51.0Score 44.0
170

On the breakout watchlist

A 27% chance of breaking out within a year, on how players like them went before. Underlying 52.5 over 4,083 minutes in the last year, down 3.5 over the last 10 weeks. Valued €10.0M against €9.9M expected. See the list

Market value

Where these come from
Transfermarkt €10.0M +€5.0M (+100%) since 18 Dec 2025 28 May 2026 · its own valuation, revised a few times a year
Current estimate €10.4M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh
Next summer, if it goes like similar cases €6.2M–€12.9M −11% median of 40 similar past cases; players the same age −7% Closest cases, what their Transfermarkt value then did in a year: Ryan Yates at 26 (€12.0M, scoring 48.8) +0%; Fran Beltrán at 26 (€8.0M, scoring 49.2) −50%; Pape Gueye at 26 (€10.0M, scoring 50.4) +300%.
0€5.0M€10M€15M20222023202420252026€10.0M€10.4M
Every value as a table
DateSourceValue
22 Oct 2026Current estimate (BSD)€10.4M
28 May 2026Transfermarkt€10.0M
18 Dec 2025Transfermarkt€5.0M
28 May 2025Transfermarkt€3.0M
28 Mar 2025Transfermarkt€4.0M
17 Dec 2024Transfermarkt€2.0M
30 May 2024Transfermarkt€2.5M
5 Dec 2023Transfermarkt€2.5M
22 Sep 2023Transfermarkt€3.0M
27 Jun 2023Transfermarkt€1.2M
14 Dec 2022Transfermarkt€900k
2 Sep 2022Transfermarkt€600k
24 Jun 2022Transfermarkt€400k
17 Dec 2021Transfermarkt€250k
5 Jul 2021Transfermarkt€250k

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

Moves

All transfers
DateMoveFee
8 Jul 2025Celtic Braga€2.6M
30 Jun 2025FC Twente CelticFree or loan
27 Aug 2024Celtic FC TwenteFree or loan
16 Aug 2023Elfsborg Celtic€3.4M
30 Nov 2022Degerfors ElfsborgFree or loan
21 Jul 2022Elfsborg DegerforsFree or loan
10 Aug 2021Västerås SK Elfsborg€110k

What the score is made of

Liga Portugal 26/27: each part per 90 minutes against the average defender in the top five leagues (0), in standard deviations.

  • Shooting −0.27
  • Creating −0.18
  • Progressing −0.11
  • Keeping the ball +0.13
  • Defending −0.33
  • Aerial +1.07
  • Finishing −0.08

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

05.0K10K15K20K28 Oct16 Dec3 Feb24 Mar12 May30 Jun18 Aug6 Oct

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level
PlayerRecent scoreValue nowLikeness
Marc Kempf Como · 31 · cheaper52.2€3.5M95%Compare
Tsuyoshi Watanabe Feyenoord · 2948.9€8.0M94%Compare
Charlie Cresswell Stade Rennais · 2453.7€25.0M93%Compare
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal AC Sparta Praha · 24 · cheaper50.8€5.0M91%Compare
Óscar Rivas Vitória SC · 26 · cheaper48.5€1.0M91%Compare
Patrick Mainka 1. FC Heidenheim · 31––90%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Gustaf Lagerbielke.

Seasons

SeasonCompetitionTeamMatchesMinutesScoreUnderlying
Liga Portugal 26/27Liga PortugalSporting Braga653950.150.2
UEFA Conference League 26/27Conference LeagueSporting Braga436046.646.9
World Cup Qualification, UEFA 2026World Cup Qualification UEFASweden646359.959.4
World Cup 2026World Cup 2026Sweden19061.361.3
Liga Portugal 25/26Liga PortugalSporting Braga282,39153.353.3
UEFA Europa League 25/26Europa LeagueSporting Braga141,19950.551.0
UEFA Europa League 24/25Europa LeagueFC Twente855451.951.2

Latest matches

59 since July 2025
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
22 Oct 2026Conference LeagueKAA GentW 2–09000–0.0244.0
19 Oct 2026Liga PortugalGil VicenteL 1–290000.040.2163.8
15 Oct 2026Conference Leagueat FC KøbenhavnL 0–390000.080.0260.2
14 Sep 2026Liga PortugalEstoril PraiaW 1–081000.060.0163.4
10 Sep 2026Liga Portugalat CF Estrela AmadoraL 1–29000–0.0137.5
5 Sep 2026Liga Portugalat FC AlvercaW 2–190000.040.0150.7
31 Aug 2026Liga PortugalVitória SCW 1–09000–0.0338.7
27 Aug 2026Conference Leagueat FK Austria WienD 0–09000––41.9
20 Aug 2026Conference LeagueFK Austria WienW 2–09000––40.2
9 Aug 2026Liga Portugalat MoreirenseD 2–29800–0.0348.2
All 59 matches
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
22 Oct 2026Conference LeagueKAA GentW 2–09000–0.0244.0
19 Oct 2026Liga PortugalGil VicenteL 1–290000.040.2163.8
15 Oct 2026Conference Leagueat FC KøbenhavnL 0–390000.080.0260.2
14 Sep 2026Liga PortugalEstoril PraiaW 1–081000.060.0163.4
10 Sep 2026Liga Portugalat CF Estrela AmadoraL 1–29000–0.0137.5
5 Sep 2026Liga Portugalat FC AlvercaW 2–190000.040.0150.7
31 Aug 2026Liga PortugalVitória SCW 1–09000–0.0338.7
27 Aug 2026Conference Leagueat FK Austria WienD 0–09000––41.9
20 Aug 2026Conference LeagueFK Austria WienW 2–09000––40.2
9 Aug 2026Liga Portugalat MoreirenseD 2–29800–0.0348.2
30 Jun 2026World Cup 2026at FranceL 0–39000–0.0061.3
16 May 2026Liga PortugalCF Estrela AmadoraD 2–290000.010.0248.0
11 May 2026Liga Portugalat BenficaD 2–29000–0.0156.5
7 May 2026Europa Leagueat SC FreiburgL 1–39000–0.1640.1
3 May 2026Liga PortugalEstoril PraiaD 1–19000–0.0143.2
30 Apr 2026Europa LeagueSC FreiburgW 2–19000–0.0155.8
23 Apr 2026Liga Portugalat Casa PiaW 1–09000–0.0160.8
19 Apr 2026Liga PortugalFamalicãoD 2–290000.230.0363.8
16 Apr 2026Europa Leagueat Real BetisW 4–29000–0.1658.4
8 Apr 2026Europa LeagueReal BetisD 1–19000–0.0137.3
4 Apr 2026Liga Portugalat MoreirenseW 1–090000.060.0148.4
31 Mar 2026World Cup Qualification UEFAPolandW 3–29010––53.7
26 Mar 2026World Cup Qualification UEFAat UkraineW 3–19000––52.5
22 Mar 2026Liga PortugalFC PortoL 1–29000–0.0260.4
18 Mar 2026Europa LeagueFerencváros TCW 4–09000–0.0144.5
12 Mar 2026Europa Leagueat Ferencváros TCL 0–29000–0.0153.8
7 Mar 2026Liga PortugalSporting CPD 2–29000–0.0150.3
28 Feb 2026Liga Portugalat CD NacionalW 2–190000.270.5360.0
21 Feb 2026Liga PortugalVitória SCW 3–29000–0.0031.7
14 Feb 2026Liga Portugalat Gil VicenteL 1–290000.010.0152.3
8 Feb 2026Liga PortugalRio AveW 3–09000–0.0146.0
2 Feb 2026Liga Portugalat AVS - Futebol SADW 4–09000–0.0143.3
29 Jan 2026Europa Leagueat Go Ahead EaglesD 0–09000–0.0348.2
22 Jan 2026Europa LeagueNottingham ForestW 1–09000–0.0154.5
18 Jan 2026Liga Portugalat TondelaW 1–08200–0.0142.0
19 Dec 2025Liga Portugalat Estoril PraiaL 0–19000–0.0254.2
15 Dec 2025Liga PortugalSanta ClaraW 1–090000.210.0558.7
11 Dec 2025Europa Leagueat NiceW 1–02900–0.0090.9
6 Dec 2025Liga Portugalat FamalicãoW 2–190000.370.2158.2
1 Dec 2025Liga Portugalat FC AroucaW 4–090100.610.0960.9
27 Nov 2025Europa Leagueat RangersD 1–190000.470.0045.1
18 Nov 2025World Cup Qualification UEFASloveniaD 1–11301––56.9
15 Nov 2025World Cup Qualification UEFAat SwitzerlandL 1–49000––69.8
9 Nov 2025Liga PortugalMoreirenseW 2–19000–0.0142.3
6 Nov 2025Europa LeagueKRC GenkL 3–490000.450.0856.0
2 Nov 2025Liga Portugalat FC PortoL 1–29000–0.0176.8
26 Oct 2025Liga PortugalCasa PiaW 4–090100.260.0167.5
23 Oct 2025Europa LeagueFK Crvena zvezdaW 2–09000–0.0147.1
13 Oct 2025World Cup Qualification UEFAKosovoL 0–19000––63.0
10 Oct 2025World Cup Qualification UEFASwitzerlandL 0–29000––60.7
5 Oct 2025Liga Portugalat Sporting CPD 1–19000–0.0866.6
2 Oct 2025Europa Leagueat CelticW 2–09000–0.0156.2
28 Sep 2025Liga PortugalCD NacionalL 0–19000–0.0246.5
24 Sep 2025Europa LeagueFeyenoordW 1–09000–0.0346.8
20 Sep 2025Liga Portugalat Vitória SCD 1–190000.040.0257.7
31 Aug 2025Liga Portugalat Rio AveD 2–29000–0.0355.9
24 Aug 2025Liga PortugalAVS - Futebol SADD 2–27800–0.0240.8
17 Aug 2025Liga Portugalat FC AlvercaW 3–03600–0.0043.9
10 Aug 2025Liga PortugalTondelaW 3–03500–0.0140.2