Liga Portugal 25/26 · 19 Dec 2025

Estoril Praia 1–0 Sporting Braga

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: Estoril Praia 37%, the draw 26%, Sporting Braga 37%.

Estoril Praia won a close one on the chances: 2.1 xG to 2.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Vítor Carvalho, 65.5 in 61′.

Well above their usual level: Joel Robles +19.4, Vítor Carvalho +13.7, Lukáš Horníček +13.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Fabrício Garcia Forward	12	0	0	0.24	100.0	–
Joel Robles Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	64.6	+19.4
Rafik Guitane Midfielder	62	0	0	–	60.4	+1.0
Ferro Defender	28	0	0	0.13	57.7	–
André Lacximicant Forward	78	1	0	0.87	57.0	+12.3
João Carvalho Midfielder	90	0	0	–	51.9	+9.4
Antef Tsoungui Defender	12	0	0	–	49.3	–
Yanis Begraoui Forward	90	0	0	0.86	45.0	−4.9
Ricard Sánchez Defender	78	0	0	–	42.9	−6.4
Pedro Amaral Defender	71	0	1	0.03	42.1	+3.0
Felix Bacher Defender	90	0	0	–	41.5	−6.6
Jordan Holsgrove Midfielder	90	0	0	–	39.8	−16.2
Kévin Boma Defender	90	0	0	–	39.7	−6.7
Nodar Lominadze Midfielder	19	0	0	–	37.7	–
Tiago Parente Defender	19	0	0	–	37.7	–
Jandro Orellana Midfielder	71	0	0	–	35.8	−8.8

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Mario Dorgeles Midfielder	29	–	68.1	–
Vítor Carvalho Defender	61	–	65.5	+13.7
Lukáš Horníček Goalkeeper	90	–	65.1	+13.2
Victor Gómez Midfielder	90	0.09	55.8	+7.5
Rodrigo Zalazar Forward	90	0.26	55.0	−7.6
Florian Grillitsch Midfielder	17	–	54.3	–
Gustaf Lagerbielke Defender	90	–	54.2	−4.1
Ricardo Horta Forward	29	0.03	50.7	–
João Moutinho Midfielder	83	0.04	48.0	−0.3
Diego Rodrigues Midfielder	61	0.21	47.4	−3.2
Pau Víctor Forward	90	1.27	46.8	−2.8
Leonardo Lelo Midfielder	13	–	45.6	–
Jean-Baptiste Gorby Midfielder	73	–	43.5	−3.8
Bright Arrey-Mbi Defender	90	–	43.1	−1.6
Fran Navarro Forward	17	–	41.9	–
Gabriel Martínez Midfielder	73	0.29	35.7	−12.4