Liga Portugal 25/26 · 28 Feb 2026

CD Nacional 1–2 Sporting Braga

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Sporting Braga favourites at 44%.

Sporting Braga won and made the better chances: 2.5 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Rodrigo Zalazar, 71.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Paulinho Bóia +16.0, Diego Rodrigues +15.6, Rodrigo Zalazar +15.1.

Well below it: Lenny Vallier −13.2, Ricardo Horta −11.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

21 Feb 2026	W 3–2	v Vitória SC Liga Portugal
14 Feb 2026	L 1–2	at Gil Vicente Liga Portugal
8 Feb 2026	W 3–0	v Rio Ave Liga Portugal
2 Feb 2026	W 4–0	at AVS - Futebol SAD Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2026	D 0–0	at Go Ahead Eagles Europa League

28 Sep 2025	Sporting Braga 0–1 CD Nacional Liga Portugal

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Lucas João Forward	1	0	0	0.09	100.0	–
Joel Silva Midfielder	16	0	0	–	77.5	–
Witi Forward	16	0	0	–	64.5	–
Paulinho Bóia Midfielder	90	1	0	0.30	59.2	+16.0
Kaique Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	56.5	+7.0
Jesús Ramírez Forward	90	0	0	0.37	47.1	−3.4
Alan Núñez Defender	90	0	0	–	46.1	+7.1
Liziero Midfielder	89	0	0	0.03	45.3	+0.1
Léo Santos Defender	90	0	0	0.07	44.4	+2.3
Matheus Dias Midfielder	90	0	0	0.12	43.2	−3.7
André Sousa Midfielder	74	0	1	–	42.8	–
Gabriel Veron Forward	74	0	0	–	41.9	−5.3
Francisco Gonçalves Defender	90	0	0	–	38.6	−6.2
Lenny Vallier Defender	89	0	0	–	32.2	−13.2
Pablo Messias Cardozo Forward	1	0	0	–	21.4	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Rodrigo Zalazar Forward	90	2	0	1.08	71.5	+15.1
Diego Rodrigues Midfielder	84	0	0	–	64.4	+15.6
Mario Dorgeles Midfielder	23	0	0	0.06	61.6	–
Gustaf Lagerbielke Defender	90	0	0	0.27	60.0	+11.1
Lukáš Horníček Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	53.4	+2.7
Bright Arrey-Mbi Defender	90	0	0	–	52.8	+9.8
Demir Ege Tıknaz Midfielder	19	0	0	–	51.9	–
Paulo Oliveira Defender	45	0	0	–	49.8	+0.5
Pau Víctor Forward	84	0	1	0.49	48.9	−0.7
João Moutinho Midfielder	23	0	0	0.08	47.3	–
Victor Gómez Midfielder	90	0	0	0.21	47.1	+3.8
Adrian Leon Barišić Defender	45	0	0	–	46.7	−6.5
Ricardo Horta Forward	90	0	0	0.13	44.9	−11.0
Florian Grillitsch Midfielder	67	0	0	–	42.2	−5.2
Gabriel Martínez Midfielder	67	0	0	0.16	41.3	−2.5
Fran Navarro Forward	19	0	0	–	39.7	–