UEFA Europa League 25/26 · 22 Jan 2026

Sporting Braga 1–0 Nottingham Forest

Picked for matchday: Standout: Callum Hudson Odoi scored 87.2 · Breakout watch: Diego Rodrigues

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Sporting Braga favourites at 48%.

Sporting Braga won although Nottingham Forest made the better chances (1.8 xG to 0.6): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Vítor Carvalho, 63.8 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Vítor Carvalho +13.1, Lukáš Horníček +10.7.

Well below it: Dilane Bakwa −13.2, Ola Aina −9.2, Morato −9.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

18 Jan 2026	W 1–0	at Tondela Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2026	D 3–3	at CF Estrela Amadora Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025	D 2–2	v Benfica Liga Portugal
19 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at Estoril Praia Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2025	W 1–0	v Santa Clara Liga Portugal

17 Jan 2026	D 0–0	v Arsenal Premier League
6 Jan 2026	W 2–1	at West Ham United Premier League
3 Jan 2026	L 1–3	at Aston Villa Premier League
30 Dec 2025	L 0–2	v Everton Premier League
27 Dec 2025	L 1–2	v Manchester City Premier League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Mario Dorgeles Midfielder	15	–	64.3	–
Vítor Carvalho Defender	45	–	63.8	+13.1
Lukáš Horníček Goalkeeper	90	–	63.7	+10.7
Gustaf Lagerbielke Defender	90	–	54.5	−2.0
Diego Rodrigues Midfielder	90	–	54.5	+4.4
Gabriel Martínez Midfielder	86	0.07	51.7	+5.0
Ricardo Horta Forward	75	0.30	49.2	−5.7
Sikou Niakaté Defender	45	–	49.2	−4.1
Jean-Baptiste Gorby Midfielder	90	–	48.4	+3.3
João Moutinho Midfielder	28	0.11	45.7	–
Victor Gómez Midfielder	90	–	44.9	−4.0
Florian Grillitsch Midfielder	62	0.01	43.3	−8.3
Pau Víctor Forward	28	0.06	42.6	–
Bright Arrey-Mbi Defender	90	–	41.2	−4.0
Fran Navarro Forward	62	–	38.6	−8.5
Leonardo Lelo Midfielder	12	–	26.2	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Callum Hudson Odoi Midfielder	22	–	87.2	–
Neco Williams Defender	21	–	81.3	–
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder	90	1.12	52.8	+4.8
Douglas Luiz Midfielder	68	–	50.9	−5.0
Nikola Milenković Defender	90	0.01	48.4	−2.1
Matz Sels Goalkeeper	90	–	47.4	−3.7
Nicolò Savona Defender	90	–	46.9	+1.4
Ryan Yates Midfielder	83	0.31	46.8	−3.4
James McAtee Midfielder	68	–	44.0	+0.6
Morato Defender	90	–	43.2	−9.2
Ola Aina Defender	69	0.02	43.0	−9.2
Dan Ndoye Midfielder	90	0.23	41.5	−3.0
Dilane Bakwa Midfielder	75	0.04	41.4	−13.2
Nicolás Domínguez Midfielder	15	–	38.0	–
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder	15	–	37.5	–
Elliot Anderson Midfielder	26	0.05	19.9	–