Nottingham Forest 1–2 Manchester City
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.5 – 1.3
- Actual xG
- 0.6 – 1.4
- Goals
- 1 – 2
Footybot made Nottingham Forest favourites at 40%.
Manchester City won and made the better chances: 1.4 xG to 0.6.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Rayan Cherki, 83.9 in 89′.
Well above their usual level: Matheus Nunes +20.0, Nico O'Reilly +14.8, Rayan Cherki +13.3.
Well below it: Callum Hudson Odoi −14.4, Erling Haaland −14.3, Neco Williams −13.6.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Nottingham Forest
| 22 Dec 2025 | L 0–1 | at Fulham |
| 14 Dec 2025 | W 3–0 | v Tottenham Hotspur |
| 11 Dec 2025 | W 2–1 | at FC Utrecht |
| 6 Dec 2025 | L 0–3 | at Everton |
| 3 Dec 2025 | W 1–0 | at Wolverhampton |
Manchester City
| 20 Dec 2025 | W 3–0 | v West Ham United |
| 14 Dec 2025 | W 3–0 | at Crystal Palace |
| 10 Dec 2025 | W 2–1 | at Real Madrid |
| 6 Dec 2025 | W 3–0 | v Sunderland |
| 2 Dec 2025 | W 5–4 | at Fulham |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Anderson | 90 | 63.1 | +3.2 |
| Omari Hutchinson | 90 | 56.9 | −3.4 |
| Nikola Milenković | 90 | 50.1 | −1.2 |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 90 | 47.0 | −1.9 |
| Murillo | 90 | 46.8 | −4.6 |
| Igor Jesus | 90 | 45.6 | −4.1 |
| John Victor | 90 | 44.9 | −6.3 |
| Nicolò Savona | 90 | 43.3 | −2.2 |
| Nicolás Domínguez | 87 | 41.9 | −10.3 |
| Callum Hudson Odoi | 89 | 41.9 | −14.4 |
| Neco Williams | 90 | 40.8 | −13.6 |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | 9 | 38.1 | – |
| Dilane Bakwa | 1 | 0.0 | – |
Manchester City
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Aké | 1 | 100.0 | – |
| Rayan Cherki | 89 | 83.9 | +13.3 |
| Matheus Nunes | 90 | 79.1 | +20.0 |
| Nico O'Reilly | 90 | 73.0 | +14.8 |
| Joško Gvardiol | 90 | 69.2 | +11.8 |
| Phil Foden | 90 | 64.0 | −0.5 |
| Rúben Dias | 90 | 63.2 | +4.0 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 73 | 58.8 | +4.3 |
| Bernardo Silva | 90 | 57.5 | +8.0 |
| Sávio | 17 | 56.6 | – |
| Nico González | 90 | 55.0 | −0.9 |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | 90 | 46.8 | +1.1 |
| Erling Haaland | 90 | 45.9 | −14.3 |