Liga Portugal 25/26 · 18 Jan 2026

Tondela 0–1 Sporting Braga

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: Tondela 35%, the draw 25%, Sporting Braga 40%.

Sporting Braga won a close one on the chances: 1.6 xG to 1.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: João Moutinho, 58.0 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Makan Aïko +13.5, João Moutinho +8.6.

Well below it: Gustaf Lagerbielke −17.0, Maranhão −15.1, Ricardo Horta −13.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

3 Jan 2026	D 3–3	at CF Estrela Amadora Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025	D 2–2	v Benfica Liga Portugal
19 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at Estoril Praia Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2025	W 1–0	v Santa Clara Liga Portugal
11 Dec 2025	W 1–0	at Nice Europa League

10 Aug 2025	Sporting Braga 3–0 Tondela Liga Portugal

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Jordan Siebatcheu Forward	1	0.50	100.0	–
Afonso Rodrigues Midfielder	1	–	84.1	–
Joe Hodge Midfielder	12	–	59.7	–
Makan Aïko Forward	90	0.16	56.5	+13.5
Bernardo Fontes Goalkeeper	90	–	50.2	+2.2
Moudjatovic Forward	12	0.02	47.6	–
Cicero Midfielder	90	–	44.0	+0.7
Yaya Sithole Midfielder	89	–	42.5	+0.8
Christian Marques Defender	90	–	41.8	−3.5
Brayan Medina Defender	90	–	40.1	−6.0
Hugo Félix Midfielder	87	0.81	39.7	−3.4
Emmanuel Maviram Defender	90	–	39.1	+1.6
Rodrigo Conceição Defender	90	–	37.0	–
Bebeto Defender	89	–	36.8	−5.7
Maranhão Midfielder	87	–	33.2	−15.1

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
João Moutinho Midfielder	90	0	0.20	58.0	+8.6
Lukáš Horníček Goalkeeper	90	0	–	55.7	+5.0
Rodrigo Zalazar Forward	90	1	0.90	54.7	−7.1
Bright Arrey-Mbi Defender	11	0	–	49.8	–
Leonardo Lelo Midfielder	73	0	–	49.5	+1.0
Sikou Niakaté Defender	90	0	–	48.8	−5.3
Florian Grillitsch Midfielder	64	0	–	46.6	−5.6
Ricardo Horta Forward	90	0	0.11	42.9	−13.9
Gustaf Lagerbielke Defender	82	0	–	42.0	−17.0
Victor Gómez Midfielder	17	0	–	41.7	–
Pau Víctor Forward	64	0	0.33	40.7	−9.6
Fran Navarro Forward	26	0	–	40.5	–
Vítor Carvalho Defender	88	0	–	39.8	−12.2
Mario Dorgeles Midfielder	73	0	–	39.5	−12.2
Gabriel Martínez Midfielder	17	0	–	36.2	–
Diego Rodrigues Midfielder	26	0	0.04	35.4	–