FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Liga Portugal 25/26 · 3 Jan 2026

CF Estrela Amadora 3–3 Sporting Braga

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.0 – 1.3
Actual xG
1.0 – 3.2
Goals
3 – 3

Footybot made Sporting Braga favourites at 42%.

Sporting Braga deserved more from the draw, creating 3.2 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Rodrigo Zalazar, 61.4 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Fran Navarro +12.2, João Moutinho +11.0, Jovane Cabral +10.6.

Well below it: Lukáš Horníček −20.3, Leonardo Lelo −10.1, Vítor Carvalho −8.4.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

CF Estrela Amadora

27 Dec 2025W 3–2at Famalicão Liga Portugal
20 Dec 2025D 0–0v Moreirense Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2025L 1–3at FC Porto Liga Portugal
7 Dec 2025W 3–1v FC Arouca Liga Portugal
30 Nov 2025L 0–4at Sporting CP Liga Portugal

Sporting Braga

28 Dec 2025D 2–2v Benfica Liga Portugal
19 Dec 2025L 0–1at Estoril Praia Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2025W 1–0v Santa Clara Liga Portugal
11 Dec 2025W 1–0at Nice Europa League
6 Dec 2025W 2–1at Famalicão Liga Portugal

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

CF Estrela Amadora

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Ianis Stoica Forward1000–74.8–
Jovane Cabral Forward80100.3559.8+10.6
Kikas Forward79100.2052.2+5.1
Abraham Marcus Midfielder88100.3550.6+5.5
Jorge Meireles Forward3400–48.8–
Paulo Moreira Midfielder9001–47.1+4.8
Otavio Defender5600–47.1−4.3
Bernardo Schappo Defender90000.0246.4−6.6
Guilherme Montóia Defender3400–43.4–
Rodrigo Pinho Forward1100–42.0–
Luan Patrick Defender9000–41.8−4.4
Renan Ribeiro Goalkeeper9000–41.6−6.9
Alex Sola Midfielder5600–41.2−3.6
Jefferson Encada Defender9001–40.9−2.9
Oumar Ngom Midfielder9000–40.8−5.1
Alisson Souza de Jesus Midfielder8000.1029.2–

Sporting Braga

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Diego Rodrigues Midfielder1300–83.3–
Rodrigo Zalazar Forward45100.2961.4+0.1
João Moutinho Midfielder68100.7958.7+11.0
Fran Navarro Forward77101.5657.4+12.2
Florian Grillitsch Midfielder2200–56.9–
Mario Dorgeles Midfielder6800–52.2+0.5
Gabriel Moscardo Midfielder4500–50.6+6.6
Gabriel Martínez Midfielder2200–46.7–
Victor Gómez Midfielder9000–45.8−2.5
Vítor Carvalho Defender90000.1744.7−8.4
Pau Víctor Forward90000.4042.6−8.3
Bright Arrey-Mbi Defender9000–41.5−2.6
Leonardo Lelo Midfielder9000–41.2−10.1
Jean-Baptiste Gorby Midfielder9000–40.1−7.6
Lukáš Horníček Goalkeeper9000–31.7−20.3