MLS 2026 · 11 Apr 2026

Toronto FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Mar 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Toronto FC favourites at 48%.

A draw the chances agree with: 0.5 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Roman Celentano, 59.0 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Evander +15.0, Roman Celentano +11.5, Benjamin Kuscevic +11.3.

Well below it: Matheus Pereira −13.1, José Cifuentes −12.9, Kévin Denkey −10.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

4 Apr 2026	L 2–4	at New York Red Bulls MLS
22 Mar 2026	W 4–3	v CF Montréal MLS
15 Mar 2026	L 1–6	at New England Revolution MLS
8 Mar 2026	L 0–1	v Toronto FC MLS
28 Feb 2026	L 0–1	at Minnesota United MLS

8 Mar 2026	FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC MLS

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Lazar Stefanovic Defender	8	–	100.0	–
Benjamin Kuscevic Defender	90	0.17	54.4	+11.3
Kobe Franklin Defender	8	–	52.1	–
Luka Gavran Goalkeeper	90	–	49.8	+4.9
Alonso Coello Midfielder	90	–	46.6	+3.5
Jonathan Osorio Midfielder	90	0.08	42.8	+0.2
Josh Sargent Forward	90	0.09	34.5	−9.4
Zane Monlouis Defender	82	–	32.7	−2.9
Derrick Etienne Forward	82	0.03	32.1	−9.6
Dániel Sallói Midfielder	90	–	29.8	−6.0
Richie Laryea Defender	90	–	27.7	−4.4
Matheus Pereira Defender	82	0.04	27.0	−13.1
José Cifuentes Midfielder	82	0.03	26.5	−12.9
Emilio Aristizábal Forward	8	–	13.6	–
Malik Henry Midfielder	8	0.06	0.0	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Kenji Mboma Dem Forward	12	1	0	0.16	100.0	–
Obinna Nwobodo Midfielder	1	0	0	–	97.2	–
Roman Celentano Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	59.0	+11.5
Evander Forward	90	0	0	0.20	55.0	+15.0
Matt Miazga Defender	62	0	0	0.09	49.9	–
Samuel Gidi Midfielder	90	0	0	–	47.7	+8.1
Nick Hagglund Defender	90	0	0	0.01	46.0	+8.1
Gilberto Flores Defender	90	0	0	–	45.7	–
Ayoub Jabbari Forward	28	0	1	–	41.9	–
Gerardo Valenzuela Midfielder	12	0	0	–	41.4	–
Ender Echenique Midfielder	89	0	0	–	40.4	+3.6
Bryan Ramirez Midfielder	88	0	0	–	39.8	−6.3
Tom Barlow Forward	62	0	0	0.15	39.4	−2.0
Pavel Bucha Midfielder	88	0	0	–	37.7	−1.1
Kyle Smith Defender	28	0	0	–	32.4	–
Kévin Denkey Forward	71	0	0	0.05	31.4	−10.3