Championship 25/26 · 26 Dec 2025

Oxford United 2–1 Southampton

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: Oxford United 36%, the draw 27%, Southampton 37%.

Oxford United won although Southampton made the better chances (1.3 xG to 0.8): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jamie Cumming, 56.1 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Ryan Manning +14.8, Stanley Mills +11.6.

Well below it: Leo Scienza −16.6, Ciaron Brown −10.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

20 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at Charlton Athletic Championship
13 Dec 2025	L 1–2	v Preston North End Championship
9 Dec 2025	D 1–1	at Blackburn Rovers Championship
6 Dec 2025	L 0–2	at Swansea City Championship
28 Nov 2025	W 2–1	v Ipswich Town Championship

20 Dec 2025	D 1–1	v Coventry City Championship
13 Dec 2025	L 1–2	at Norwich City Championship
9 Dec 2025	W 3–2	v West Bromwich Albion Championship
6 Dec 2025	W 3–1	v Birmingham City Championship
29 Nov 2025	L 2–3	at Millwall Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jamie Cumming Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	56.1	+3.9
Stanley Mills Midfielder	89	1	0	0.21	43.1	+11.6
Nik Prelec Forward	75	0	0	0.12	40.7	+0.5
Filip Krastev Midfielder	24	0	0	0.12	40.5	–
Michał Helik Defender	90	0	0	–	38.5	−2.6
Tyler Goodrham Midfielder	90	1	0	0.04	36.9	+5.2
Will Lankshear Forward	15	0	1	–	36.6	–
Brodie Spencer Defender	90	0	0	–	34.5	−1.3
Brian De Keersmaecker Midfielder	90	0	0	0.08	33.5	−5.7
Przemysław Płacheta Midfielder	75	0	0	0.17	33.4	−5.3
Ciaron Brown Defender	90	0	0	0.04	33.3	−10.8
Sam Long Defender	1	0	0	–	32.1	–
Luke Harris Midfielder	66	0	0	0.01	31.0	−4.6
Jack Currie Defender	90	0	0	–	29.3	−7.2
Siriki Dembélé Midfielder	15	0	0	–	6.9	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Oriol Romeu Midfielder	34	0	0	–	54.3	–
Ryan Manning Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	54.2	+14.8
Ryan Fraser Midfielder	20	0	0	–	51.9	–
Caspar Jander Midfielder	90	0	0	0.14	51.6	+5.7
Gavin Bazunu Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	49.4	−0.3
Tom Fellows Midfielder	70	0	0	–	45.8	+3.7
Cameron Archer Forward	10	0	0	0.06	44.9	–
Flynn Downes Midfielder	56	0	0	0.01	44.8	+2.6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis Defender	90	1	0	0.14	44.5	−5.5
Finn Azaz Midfielder	85	0	0	0.18	41.5	−5.1
Jack Stephens Defender	90	0	0	–	41.4	−2.2
Adam Armstrong Forward	90	0	0	0.51	41.0	−4.9
Nathan Wood Defender	90	0	0	0.06	39.6	−5.9
Jay Robinson Forward	34	0	0	0.08	29.6	–
Leo Scienza Midfielder	56	0	1	0.11	26.3	−16.6