Championship 25/26 · 6 Dec 2025

Southampton 3–1 Birmingham City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Southampton favourites at 51%.

Southampton won a close one on the chances: 2.1 xG to 2.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Adam Armstrong, 64.4 in 63′.

Well above their usual level: Adam Armstrong +18.0, Tommy Doyle +17.2, Christoph Klarer +12.5.

Well below it: Ryan Manning −20.0, Tom Fellows −14.7, Finn Azaz −10.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

29 Nov 2025	L 2–3	at Millwall Championship
25 Nov 2025	W 3–0	v Leicester City Championship
22 Nov 2025	W 5–1	at Charlton Athletic Championship
8 Nov 2025	W 3–1	v Sheffield Wednesday Championship
5 Nov 2025	W 2–1	at Queens Park Rangers Championship

1 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Watford Championship
26 Nov 2025	D 1–1	at West Bromwich Albion Championship
22 Nov 2025	W 4–1	v Norwich City Championship
8 Nov 2025	L 1–2	at Middlesbrough Championship
4 Nov 2025	W 4–0	v Millwall Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Adam Armstrong Forward	63	2	0	0.90	64.4	+18.0
Gavin Bazunu Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	51.9	+4.4
Taylor Harwood-Bellis Defender	90	0	0	0.26	47.3	−1.7
Oriol Romeu Midfielder	10	0	0	–	46.9	–
Nathan Wood Defender	90	0	0	–	42.3	−2.7
Jay Robinson Forward	27	0	0	0.03	42.2	–
Flynn Downes Midfielder	90	0	0	–	41.3	−0.4
Finn Azaz Midfielder	80	1	1	0.12	40.8	−10.5
Leo Scienza Midfielder	63	0	1	0.08	40.6	−7.0
Cameron Archer Forward	27	0	0	0.40	40.3	–
Caspar Jander Midfielder	80	0	0	–	39.0	−8.1
Joe Aribo Midfielder	10	0	0	–	36.7	–
Jack Stephens Defender	90	0	0	–	35.8	−9.6
Ryan Manning Midfielder	90	0	0	–	30.7	−20.0
Tom Fellows Midfielder	87	0	0	0.34	27.8	−14.7
Ronnie Edwards Defender	10	0	0	–	0.0	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jack Robinson Defender	31	0	0	0.37	91.9	–
Keshi Anderson Midfielder	10	0	0	0.04	73.8	–
Christoph Klarer Defender	90	0	0	0.21	63.6	+12.5
Tommy Doyle Midfielder	90	0	0	0.10	58.6	+17.2
Lyndon Dykes Forward	11	0	0	0.04	54.8	–
Demarai Gray Midfielder	86	1	0	0.23	49.3	+10.6
James Beadle Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	48.6	−4.9
Phil Neumann Defender	90	0	0	0.11	46.9	+5.0
Seung Ho Paik Midfielder	90	0	0	–	46.4	+0.7
Patrick Roberts Midfielder	80	0	0	–	43.1	+2.4
Kyogo Furuhashi Forward	31	0	0	0.46	42.5	–
Tomoki Iwata Midfielder	90	0	0	0.21	41.8	+0.2
Marvin Ducksch Forward	59	0	0	–	37.2	−6.1
Alex Cochrane Defender	59	0	1	–	33.6	+1.8
Lewis Koumas Forward	11	0	0	–	33.4	–
Jay Stansfield Midfielder	86	0	0	0.23	32.5	−7.0