Championship 25/26 · 8 Nov 2025

Middlesbrough 2–1 Birmingham City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Middlesbrough favourites at 43%.

Middlesbrough won although Birmingham City made the better chances (1.2 xG to 0.6): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Demarai Gray, 58.3 in 57′.

Well above their usual level: Demarai Gray +16.8, Marc Leonard +14.1, Alex Cochrane +9.8.

Well below it: James Beadle −10.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

4 Nov 2025	D 1–1	at Leicester City Championship
1 Nov 2025	L 0–3	at Watford Championship
25 Oct 2025	D 1–1	v Wrexham Championship
22 Oct 2025	W 1–0	at Sheffield Wednesday Championship
17 Oct 2025	W 2–1	v Ipswich Town Championship

4 Nov 2025	W 4–0	v Millwall Championship
1 Nov 2025	W 4–0	v Portsmouth Championship
25 Oct 2025	L 0–1	at Bristol City Championship
21 Oct 2025	W 1–0	at Preston North End Championship
18 Oct 2025	L 2–3	v Hull City Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Dael Fry Defender	26	1	0	0.08	68.3	–
Solomon Brynn Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	54.2	+8.4
Aidan Morris Midfielder	90	0	1	–	46.7	+1.0
Callum Brittain Defender	90	0	1	–	44.7	+5.3
Hayden Hackney Midfielder	90	1	0	0.10	44.0	+1.2
George McCormick Defender	30	0	0	0.19	42.2	–
Riley McGree Midfielder	61	0	0	0.01	42.1	–
Alan Browne Midfielder	90	0	0	0.14	41.3	−2.4
Matt Targett Defender	60	0	0	–	41.2	+0.2
Sverre Nypan Midfielder	29	0	0	–	39.4	–
Tommy Conway Forward	86	0	0	0.02	36.4	−6.6
Luke Ayling Defender	90	0	0	–	36.2	−7.6
Delano Burgzorg Forward	9	0	0	–	35.4	–
Morgan Whittaker Midfielder	61	0	0	0.04	34.1	−5.4
Mamadou Kaly Sene Forward	29	0	0	–	33.7	–
Samuel Silvera Midfielder	64	0	0	0.03	31.1	−5.6

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Keshi Anderson Midfielder	33	0	–	64.9	–
Demarai Gray Midfielder	57	1	0.35	58.3	+16.8
Lewis Koumas Forward	10	0	–	56.7	–
Marc Leonard Midfielder	85	0	–	49.6	+14.1
Patrick Roberts Midfielder	80	0	0.33	47.0	+4.7
Christoph Klarer Defender	90	0	–	45.4	−7.4
Tommy Doyle Midfielder	90	0	0.08	42.8	+1.5
Phil Neumann Defender	90	0	–	42.3	+1.6
Alex Cochrane Defender	90	0	–	42.3	+9.8
James Beadle Goalkeeper	90	0	–	42.2	−10.9
Marvin Ducksch Forward	57	0	–	42.1	+1.4
Lyndon Dykes Forward	10	0	–	40.9	–
Tomoki Iwata Midfielder	80	0	0.24	39.0	−2.8
Seung Ho Paik Midfielder	5	0	–	38.5	–
Jay Stansfield Midfielder	90	0	0.20	38.4	+0.7
Kyogo Furuhashi Forward	33	0	–	34.9	–