Championship 25/26 · 1 Nov 2025

Watford 3–0 Middlesbrough

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Watford favourites at 47%.

Watford won a close one on the chances: 0.8 xG to 0.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Egil Selvik, 64.3 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Egil Selvik +14.2, Mamadou Doumbia +8.9, Alfie Jones +8.2.

Well below it: Solomon Brynn −18.4, Matthew Pollock −18.2, Hayden Hackney −16.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

25 Oct 2025	L 1–3	at Coventry City Championship
22 Oct 2025	W 2–1	v West Bromwich Albion Championship
18 Oct 2025	L 0–1	at Sheffield United Championship
4 Oct 2025	W 2–1	v Oxford United Championship
1 Oct 2025	D 2–2	at Portsmouth Championship

25 Oct 2025	D 1–1	v Wrexham Championship
22 Oct 2025	W 1–0	at Sheffield Wednesday Championship
17 Oct 2025	W 2–1	v Ipswich Town Championship
4 Oct 2025	L 0–1	at Portsmouth Championship
30 Sep 2025	D 0–0	v Stoke City Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Egil Selvik Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	64.3	+14.2
Edo Kayembe Midfielder	9	0	0	–	53.9	–
Imrân Louza Midfielder	88	1	0	0.49	51.8	−1.9
Mamadou Doumbia Forward	88	1	0	0.05	50.7	+8.9
Tom Ince Midfielder	28	0	0	0.04	48.4	–
Nestory Irankunda Forward	13	0	0	–	48.3	–
Luca Kjerrumgaard Forward	77	1	0	0.07	47.1	+5.3
Rocco Vata Forward	62	0	0	0.04	40.9	−7.5
Hector Kyprianou Midfielder	90	0	0	–	38.9	−2.6
Kwadwo Baah Forward	77	0	1	–	38.8	−4.7
Kévin Keben Biakolo Defender	90	0	1	–	34.1	−9.6
Jeremy Ngakia Defender	90	0	1	–	31.5	−5.5
Marc Bola Defender	90	0	0	0.07	30.6	−3.3
Vivaldo Forward	9	0	0	–	30.1	–
Jeremy Petris Defender	13	0	0	–	30.1	–
Matthew Pollock Defender	90	0	0	–	29.1	−18.2

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Morgan Whittaker Midfielder	20	–	74.0	–
Alfie Jones Defender	70	–	49.4	+8.2
Tommy Conway Forward	71	0.06	48.2	+3.2
David Strelec Forward	20	0.35	47.4	–
Dael Fry Defender	90	–	45.7	−3.4
Luke Ayling Defender	90	–	45.6	+5.5
Alan Browne Midfielder	90	0.02	44.4	+3.2
Riley McGree Midfielder	20	–	44.2	–
Delano Burgzorg Forward	70	0.05	43.4	+2.3
Aidan Morris Midfielder	70	0.08	41.4	−6.0
Callum Brittain Defender	90	–	40.3	+2.9
Matt Targett Defender	90	0.03	38.5	+0.5
Mamadou Kaly Sene Forward	19	–	36.3	–
Sontje Hansen Forward	19	–	35.0	–
Solomon Brynn Goalkeeper	90	–	29.9	−18.4
Hayden Hackney Midfielder	71	0.21	25.3	−16.5