Championship 25/26 · 4 Oct 2025

Portsmouth 1–0 Middlesbrough

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Portsmouth favourites at 48%.

Portsmouth won although Middlesbrough made the better chances (1.0 xG to 0.5): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Josef Bursik, 54.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Connor Ogilvie +15.7, Callum Brittain +13.2, Matt Targett +10.7.

Well below it: Luke Ayling −9.3, Josh Knight −8.6, Solomon Brynn −8.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Oct 2025	D 2–2	v Watford Championship
27 Sep 2025	L 1–2	at Ipswich Town Championship
20 Sep 2025	L 0–2	v Sheffield Wednesday Championship
14 Sep 2025	D 0–0	at Southampton Championship
30 Aug 2025	W 1–0	v Preston North End Championship

30 Sep 2025	D 0–0	v Stoke City Championship
27 Sep 2025	D 1–1	at Southampton Championship
19 Sep 2025	W 2–1	v West Bromwich Albion Championship
13 Sep 2025	D 2–2	at Preston North End Championship
30 Aug 2025	W 1–0	v Sheffield United Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Josef Bursik Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	54.6	–
Harvey Blair Forward	12	0	0	–	49.0	–
Yang Min-hyeok Midfielder	78	1	0	0.16	45.6	–
Connor Ogilvie Defender	90	0	0	–	45.4	+15.7
Márk Kosznovszky Midfielder	32	0	0	0.02	43.3	–
Andre Dozzell Midfielder	90	0	0	–	42.5	−0.5
Josh Knight Defender	90	0	0	–	41.3	−8.6
Jordan Lee Williams Defender	64	0	1	–	40.4	+5.2
John Swift Midfielder	58	0	0	0.04	40.2	+2.2
Regan Poole Defender	90	0	0	0.03	40.0	−0.6
Terry Devlin Defender	26	0	0	–	39.4	–
Conor Chaplin Midfielder	64	0	0	0.22	38.2	+3.7
Colby Bishop Forward	90	0	0	–	36.9	−3.7
Marlon Pack Midfielder	90	0	0	–	35.8	–
Adrian Segečić Midfielder	26	0	0	0.02	25.2	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Aidan Morris Midfielder	90	0.28	51.5	+6.3
Hayden Hackney Midfielder	84	0.19	49.4	+6.0
Dael Fry Defender	90	–	49.3	+1.8
Matt Targett Defender	84	0.11	49.1	+10.7
Callum Brittain Defender	90	0.09	48.3	+13.2
David Strelec Forward	31	–	43.2	–
Tommy Conway Forward	90	0.15	42.1	−4.1
Alfie Jones Defender	90	–	42.0	−0.3
Alan Browne Midfielder	21	–	42.0	–
Sontje Hansen Forward	59	0.16	41.2	–
Solomon Brynn Goalkeeper	90	–	39.7	−8.5
Mamadou Kaly Sene Forward	70	–	39.6	−3.4
Delano Burgzorg Forward	12	–	39.3	–
Luke Ayling Defender	69	–	31.9	−9.3
Morgan Whittaker Midfielder	12	0.02	28.6	–
Sverre Nypan Midfielder	20	–	27.3	–