Championship 25/26 · 27 Sep 2025

Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Southampton favourites at 61%.

Southampton deserved more from the draw, creating 0.9 xG to 0.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Luke Ayling, 51.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Luke Ayling +11.3, Tom Fellows +8.2, Adam Armstrong +8.2.

Well below it: Alex McCarthy −10.5, Ryan Manning −8.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

19 Sep 2025	W 2–1	v West Bromwich Albion Championship
13 Sep 2025	D 2–2	at Preston North End Championship
30 Aug 2025	W 1–0	v Sheffield United Championship
23 Aug 2025	W 2–1	at Norwich City Championship
16 Aug 2025	W 3–0	at Millwall Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Adam Armstrong Forward	90	1	0.25	49.1	+8.2
Shea Charles Midfielder	90	0	–	48.8	+4.2
Nathan Wood Defender	90	0	–	48.2	+4.0
Caspar Jander Midfielder	90	0	0.06	46.0	−4.0
Alex McCarthy Goalkeeper	90	0	–	44.1	−10.5
Tom Fellows Midfielder	71	0	–	43.9	+8.2
Ryan Manning Midfielder	86	0	0.13	43.0	−8.3
Joshua Quarshie Defender	90	0	0.18	41.0	−4.7
Ronnie Edwards Defender	90	0	–	38.2	−5.2
Jay Robinson Forward	8	0	–	37.2	–
Ross Stewart Forward	86	0	0.04	36.8	–
Ryan Fraser Midfielder	19	0	–	36.1	–
Finn Azaz Midfielder	64	0	0.20	33.5	−3.3
Leo Scienza Midfielder	26	0	–	26.1	–
Elias Jelert Defender	8	0	–	0.0	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Mamadou Kaly Sene Forward	18	1	0	0.07	85.9	–
Luke Ayling Defender	90	0	1	–	51.5	+11.3
Aidan Morris Midfielder	72	0	0	–	46.8	+0.5
George Edmundson Defender	90	0	0	–	44.8	–
Solomon Brynn Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	42.6	−4.1
Hayden Hackney Midfielder	90	0	0	–	42.2	−2.5
Tommy Conway Forward	72	0	0	0.09	41.9	−5.2
Morgan Whittaker Midfielder	62	0	0	0.01	40.9	+4.3
David Strelec Forward	72	0	0	0.08	40.4	−4.8
Alan Browne Midfielder	27	0	0	–	39.8	–
Alfie Jones Defender	90	0	0	–	39.6	−1.6
Sverre Nypan Midfielder	28	0	0	–	38.4	–
Delano Burgzorg Forward	18	0	0	–	37.9	–
Matt Targett Defender	90	0	0	0.05	35.3	−4.3
Sontje Hansen Forward	18	0	0	–	33.7	–
Callum Brittain Defender	63	0	0	–	33.7	−2.3