Championship 25/26 · 4 Nov 2025

Birmingham City 4–0 Millwall

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Birmingham City favourites at 56%.

Birmingham City won and made the better chances: 1.9 xG to 0.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Christoph Klarer, 54.8 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Patrick Roberts +13.2, Alex Cochrane +11.5, Seung Ho Paik +10.9.

Well below it: Max Crocombe −26.6, Tomoki Iwata −13.5, Phil Neumann −10.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Nov 2025	W 4–0	v Portsmouth Championship
25 Oct 2025	L 0–1	at Bristol City Championship
21 Oct 2025	W 1–0	at Preston North End Championship
18 Oct 2025	L 2–3	v Hull City Championship
3 Oct 2025	D 1–1	at Wrexham Championship

1 Nov 2025	D 2–2	at Oxford United Championship
25 Oct 2025	W 1–0	v Leicester City Championship
21 Oct 2025	W 2–0	v Stoke City Championship
18 Oct 2025	W 2–1	at Queens Park Rangers Championship
4 Oct 2025	W 3–0	v West Bromwich Albion Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Marc Leonard Midfielder	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
Bright Osayi-Samuel Defender	11	0	0	–	73.9	–
Christoph Klarer Defender	90	0	0	0.02	54.8	+0.5
Seung Ho Paik Midfielder	90	1	0	0.12	54.6	+10.9
James Beadle Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	54.2	+1.4
Patrick Roberts Midfielder	79	0	1	0.11	53.4	+13.2
Demarai Gray Midfielder	59	1	0	0.26	49.7	+9.3
Kyogo Furuhashi Forward	31	0	0	0.45	45.3	–
Jay Stansfield Midfielder	90	1	1	0.82	45.1	+9.5
Alex Cochrane Defender	90	1	0	0.05	43.7	+11.5
Marvin Ducksch Forward	59	0	0	–	37.5	−4.5
Keshi Anderson Midfielder	31	0	0	0.03	36.8	–
Tommy Doyle Midfielder	89	0	0	0.04	35.6	−7.2
Phil Neumann Defender	90	0	0	–	31.5	−10.5
Tomoki Iwata Midfielder	79	0	0	–	29.6	−13.5
Lewis Koumas Forward	11	0	0	–	29.1	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Caleb Taylor Defender	18	–	64.5	–
Billy Mitchell Midfielder	79	–	47.6	+4.7
Derek Mazou-Sacko Midfielder	11	0.03	46.0	–
Jake Cooper Defender	90	–	44.3	−4.9
Tristan Crama Defender	90	–	43.7	−4.5
Joe Bryan Defender	71	0.06	42.7	+3.1
Casper De Norre Midfielder	90	–	41.7	+0.5
Mihailo Ivanović Forward	72	–	40.9	+0.9
Luke Cundle Midfielder	90	0.02	39.1	−6.2
Wes Harding Defender	90	–	37.9	–
Macaulay Langstaff Forward	18	–	36.9	–
Aidomo Emakhu Forward	33	–	36.3	–
Thierno Ballo Midfielder	72	–	34.3	−6.4
Camiel Neghli Midfielder	57	0.01	31.6	−5.9
Max Crocombe Goalkeeper	90	–	26.0	−26.6
Zak Sturge Defender	19	–	20.1	–