Championship 25/26 · 1 Dec 2025

Birmingham City 2–1 Watford

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Birmingham City favourites at 59%.

Birmingham City won a close one on the chances: 1.2 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Imrân Louza, 54.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Jeremy Ngakia +8.6.

Each side's last five results before this match.

26 Nov 2025	D 1–1	at West Bromwich Albion Championship
22 Nov 2025	W 4–1	v Norwich City Championship
8 Nov 2025	L 1–2	at Middlesbrough Championship
4 Nov 2025	W 4–0	v Millwall Championship
1 Nov 2025	W 4–0	v Portsmouth Championship

25 Nov 2025	D 1–1	v Preston North End Championship
22 Nov 2025	W 3–2	at Derby County Championship
7 Nov 2025	D 1–1	v Bristol City Championship
4 Nov 2025	D 1–1	at Ipswich Town Championship
1 Nov 2025	W 3–0	v Middlesbrough Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Marc Leonard Midfielder	1	0	0	–	84.9	–
Lewis Koumas Forward	1	0	0	–	52.3	–
James Beadle Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	50.1	−3.8
Christoph Klarer Defender	90	0	0	–	48.7	−2.5
Seung Ho Paik Midfielder	90	1	0	0.12	46.0	+0.8
Phil Neumann Defender	90	0	0	0.35	41.5	−0.4
Patrick Roberts Midfielder	89	0	0	0.13	41.3	+0.0
Marvin Ducksch Forward	73	0	0	0.32	39.8	−4.1
Demarai Gray Midfielder	69	1	0	0.13	38.2	−2.0
Jay Stansfield Midfielder	89	0	1	0.13	37.5	−1.8
Tommy Doyle Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	35.2	−7.0
Bright Osayi-Samuel Defender	73	0	0	–	33.3	−5.1
Lyndon Dykes Forward	17	0	0	–	30.7	–
Keshi Anderson Midfielder	21	0	0	–	30.3	–
Alex Cochrane Defender	90	0	0	–	25.0	−7.2
Alfons Sampsted Defender	17	0	0	–	18.5	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Imrân Louza Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	54.4	+0.3
Jeremy Ngakia Defender	90	0	0	–	48.7	+8.6
Giorgi Chakvetadze Midfielder	31	0	0	–	47.8	–
Mamadou Doumbia Forward	90	0	0	0.06	44.6	+1.0
Nathan Baxter Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	42.8	−4.3
Othmane Maamma Midfielder	85	1	0	0.68	41.2	–
Matthew Pollock Defender	90	0	0	–	40.9	−5.8
Hector Kyprianou Midfielder	60	0	0	–	39.4	−3.0
Marc Bola Defender	90	0	1	0.11	38.8	+0.6
Tom Ince Midfielder	59	0	0	0.02	38.6	−1.6
Kévin Keben Biakolo Defender	90	0	0	–	38.0	−6.1
Edo Kayembe Midfielder	30	0	0	–	37.9	–
Luca Kjerrumgaard Forward	60	0	0	–	36.5	−5.5
Vivaldo Forward	30	0	0	–	33.8	–
Moussa Sissoko Midfielder	10	0	0	–	30.8	–