FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Championship 25/26 · 22 Nov 2025

Derby County 2–3 Watford

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.3 – 1.0
Actual xG
0.6 – 1.5
Goals
2 – 3

Footybot made Derby County favourites at 44%.

Watford won and made the better chances: 1.5 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Edo Kayembe, 58.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Edo Kayembe +19.3, Matthew Pollock +11.4.

Well below it: Jacob Widell Zetterström −24.2, Matt Clarke −19.5, Callum Elder −11.2.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Derby County

8 Nov 2025W 2–1at Blackburn Rovers Championship
4 Nov 2025W 2–1v Hull City Championship
1 Nov 2025W 3–1at Sheffield United Championship
25 Oct 2025W 1–0v Queens Park Rangers Championship
21 Oct 2025W 1–0v Norwich City Championship

Watford

7 Nov 2025D 1–1v Bristol City Championship
4 Nov 2025D 1–1at Ipswich Town Championship
1 Nov 2025W 3–0v Middlesbrough Championship
25 Oct 2025L 1–3at Coventry City Championship
22 Oct 2025W 2–1v West Bromwich Albion Championship

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Derby County

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Dion Sanderson Defender90100.1149.8+7.6
Joe Ward Midfielder9001–46.3+2.6
Ebou Adams Midfielder90000.0441.1−0.6
Ben Brereton Díaz Midfielder7000–38.3+0.3
Sondre Langås Defender89100.2637.4−0.9
Kayden Jackson Forward2000–36.5–
Andreas Weimann Forward72000.0636.1−2.4
Liam Thompson Midfielder100–35.9–
Patrick Agyemang Forward71000.1434.8−4.3
Carlton Morris Forward1800–33.0–
Jacob Widell Zetterström Goalkeeper9000–30.6−24.2
Bobby Clark Midfielder90000.0229.6−4.1
Callum Elder Midfielder9000–26.5−11.2
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen Forward1900–24.9–
Matt Clarke Defender9000–22.2−19.5

Watford

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Edo Kayembe Midfielder90200.9358.5+19.3
Matthew Pollock Defender9000–57.1+11.4
Luca Kjerrumgaard Forward65100.0649.4+7.2
Kévin Keben Biakolo Defender90000.0447.3+4.5
Marc Bola Defender90000.1045.1+7.9
Imrân Louza Midfielder90010.0144.1−10.7
Mamadou Doumbia Forward25000.0743.5–
Hector Kyprianou Midfielder6500–42.6+0.6
Nestory Irankunda Forward55000.2038.7−10.0
Kwadwo Baah Forward35000.0338.1–
Vivaldo Forward2500–35.4–
Nathan Baxter Goalkeeper9000–34.2–
Othmane Maamma Midfielder8100–33.1–
Jeremy Ngakia Defender90010.0232.9−5.0
Moussa Sissoko Midfielder900–31.0–