World Cup 2026, Round of 16 · 6 Jul 2026

Mexico 2–3 England

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 24% · Standout: Álvaro Fidalgo scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jun 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Mexico favourites at 48%.

England won a close one on the chances: 1.6 xG to 1.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jude Bellingham, 93.7 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Jude Bellingham +39.5, Harry Kane +22.2, Johan Vásquez +17.5.

Well below it: Nico O'Reilly −16.5, Declan Rice −11.7, Jarell Quansah −11.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Jul 2026	W 2–1	v DR Congo World Cup 2026
27 Jun 2026	W 2–0	at Panama World Cup 2026
23 Jun 2026	D 0–0	v Ghana World Cup 2026
17 Jun 2026	W 4–2	v Croatia World Cup 2026
16 Nov 2025	W 2–0	at Albania World Cup Qualification UEFA

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Álvaro Fidalgo Midfielder	11	0	0.05	100.0	–
Roberto Alvarado Forward	90	0	–	73.8	–
Raúl Jiménez Forward	90	1	1.19	70.7	+13.5
Johan Vásquez Defender	90	0	–	67.0	+17.5
Julián Quiñones Forward	81	1	0.22	66.5	+10.8
Jesús Gallardo Defender	90	0	0.02	65.8	–
Edson Álvarez Midfielder	45	0	0.23	63.1	+14.2
Erik Lira Defender	90	0	–	51.9	–
Brian Gutiérrez Midfielder	29	0	0.03	50.9	–
Jorge Sánchez Defender	79	0	–	50.7	–
Gilberto Mora Midfielder	61	0	0.04	44.0	–
Luis Romo Defender	61	0	0.03	43.6	–
Santiago Giménez Forward	29	0	0.13	43.5	–
Guillermo Martínez Forward	9	0	–	43.2	–
Raúl Rangel Goalkeeper	90	0	–	35.2	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jude Bellingham Midfielder	90	2	0	0.67	93.7	+39.5
Djed Spence Defender	16	0	0	–	87.8	–
Harry Kane Forward	89	1	1	0.79	86.6	+22.2
Dan Burn Defender	15	0	0	–	83.4	–
Bukayo Saka Forward	57	0	1	–	61.8	+6.8
Marc Guéhi Defender	90	0	0	–	60.0	−2.9
Jordan Pickford Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	55.4	+9.2
John Stones Defender	33	0	0	–	53.5	–
Anthony Gordon Forward	90	0	0	0.04	52.8	−6.1
Elliot Anderson Midfielder	75	0	0	–	52.5	−9.1
Ezri Konsa Defender	90	0	0	–	41.8	−7.7
Declan Rice Midfielder	90	0	0	–	41.8	−11.7
Morgan Rogers Midfielder	13	0	0	–	39.9	–
Nico O'Reilly Defender	74	0	0	0.05	39.9	−16.5
Jarell Quansah Defender	54	0	0	–	34.5	−11.0