Matchday

Ligue 1 25/26 · 2 Jan 2026

Toulouse 0–3 RC Lens

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 23% · Breakout watch: Andrija Bulatović

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.8 – 1.1
Actual xG
0.7 – 1.6
Goals
0 – 3

Footybot made Toulouse favourites at 54%.

RC Lens won and made the better chances: 1.6 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ismaelo Ganiou, 77.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Ismaelo Ganiou +30.6, Wesley Saïd +26.4, Malang Sarr +13.9.

Well below it: Yann Gboho −10.5.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Toulouse

13 Dec 2025W 3–0at Paris FC Ligue 1
6 Dec 2025W 1–0v RC Strasbourg Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025D 2–2at Olympique de Marseille Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025L 0–1v Angers Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025D 1–1at Lorient Ligue 1

RC Lens

14 Dec 2025W 2–0v Nice Ligue 1
6 Dec 2025W 2–1at Nantes Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025W 2–1at Angers Ligue 1
22 Nov 2025W 1–0v RC Strasbourg Ligue 1
8 Nov 2025W 4–1at AS Monaco Ligue 1

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Toulouse

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Cristian Cásseres Jr. Midfielder90000.0156.6+11.8
Aron Dønnum Midfielder77000.0348.2−6.1
Charlie Cresswell Defender9000–48.1−6.3
Julian Vignolo Forward1300–45.9–
Rasmus Nicolaisen Defender30000.0545.7–
Rafik Messali Midfielder6300–44.3–
Santiago Hidalgo Forward27000.0343.6–
Djibril Sidibé Midfielder9000–43.3+0.5
Guillaume Restes Goalkeeper9000–42.5−7.8
Alexis Vossah Midfielder6300–41.3+1.8
Yann Gboho Forward90000.2739.9−10.5
Mark McKenzie Defender90000.0638.4−2.7
Seny Koumbassa Defender4700–34.6–
Mario Sauer Midfielder2700–33.5–
Waren Kamanzi Midfielder1300–31.7–
Emersonn Forward23000.207.7–

RC Lens

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Ismaelo Ganiou Defender90100.1777.6+30.6
Wesley Saïd Forward90100.5377.2+26.4
Adrien Thomasson Midfielder90110.2962.1+12.3
Malang Sarr Defender90000.0360.7+13.9
Saud Abdulhamid Midfielder89000.1260.5–
Florian Thauvin Forward74000.2760.0+6.2
Samson Baidoo Defender9000–57.3+4.3
Matthieu Udol Midfielder9000–56.1+3.9
Robin Risser Goalkeeper9000–53.7+1.6
Andrija Bulatović Midfielder89000.0649.5+0.4
Morgan Guilavogui Forward1600–47.3–
Odsonne Édouard Forward38000.0443.8–
Anthony Bermont Midfielder1300–43.2–
Florian Sotoca Forward1300–42.3–
Rayan Fofana Forward52000.1241.6−6.0