Rasmus Nicolaisen

Defender · Toulouse · 29 · Denmark

422 on the breakout watchlist Compare with others

Season score: 61.0; Ligue 1 26/27, 5 matches
Last 5 weeks: 61.0; average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value: €5.0M; +€500k (+11%) since 3 Jun 2025; Transfermarkt, 1 Jun 2026

Photo: Gaillac, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Born: 16 Mar 1997
Height: 190 cm
Foot: L
Contract until: 30 Jun 2029
Wikipedia views: 511 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 20–26 Oct 2026

33 of 69 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 50.6 (minutes-weighted); 1 of them 70 or better.

Form bars show the weekly score: no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table

Week	Matches	Minutes	Score	Expected	Underlying
20–26 Oct 2026	1	90	66.3	51.1	66.3
13–19 Oct 2026	1	85	44.9	51.5	44.8
1–7 Sep 2026	1	90	53.7	51.4	54.2
25–31 Aug 2026	1	90	79.5	49.7	79.6
18–24 Aug 2026	1	90	59.7	49.0	60.9
5–11 May 2026	1	90	43.5	49.4	43.4
28 Apr – 4 May 2026	1	90	44.6	49.6	44.5
21–27 Apr 2026	2	180	53.6	49.3	53.6
14–20 Apr 2026	1	90	48.8	49.1	48.7
7–13 Apr 2026	1	90	41.4	49.6	42.3
31 Mar – 6 Apr 2026	1	90	50.2	49.5	42.5
17–23 Mar 2026	1	90	38.0	50.2	37.9
10–16 Mar 2026	1	90	55.9	49.9	56.1
3–9 Mar 2026	2	180	51.9	49.6	52.3
17–23 Feb 2026	1	90	39.7	50.2	39.6
10–16 Feb 2026	1	62	43.9	50.5	44.3
3–9 Feb 2026	2	180	47.6	50.9	47.6
27 Jan – 2 Feb 2026	1	90	50.2	51.0	50.1
20–26 Jan 2026	1	90	63.6	50.2	64.4
13–19 Jan 2026	1	82	56.9	49.8	57.0
30 Dec 2025 – 5 Jan 2026	1	30	47.3	49.9	48.5
9–15 Dec 2025	1	90	41.2	50.4	41.1
2–8 Dec 2025	1	90	37.6	51.3	37.5
25 Nov – 1 Dec 2025	1	90	50.4	51.3	50.4
18–24 Nov 2025	1	90	54.2	51.2	55.4
4–10 Nov 2025	1	90	68.5	50.1	68.5
28 Oct – 3 Nov 2025	2	180	43.9	50.6	43.8
21–27 Oct 2025	1	73	49.2	51.1	49.4
14–20 Oct 2025	1	90	41.7	51.8	41.6
30 Sep – 6 Oct 2025	1	90	52.0	51.8	51.9
23–29 Sep 2025	1	90	46.2	52.3	47.6
16–22 Sep 2025	1	70	66.1	51.6	66.1
9–15 Sep 2025	1	90	42.6	52.3	42.6
26 Aug – 1 Sep 2025	1	63	48.5	52.6	48.4
19–25 Aug 2025	1	20	40.0	52.8	39.9
12–18 Aug 2025	1	8	100.0	52.6	100.0

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: +3.8 a week above expectation.

422

On the breakout watchlist

A 17% chance of breaking out within a year, on how players like them went before. Underlying 50.8 over 2,689 minutes in the last year, up 10.4 over the last 10 weeks. Wikipedia views 2.8× below similar performers. Valued €5.0M against €4.8M expected. See the list

Market value

Where these come from

Transfermarkt €5.0M +€500k (+11%) since 3 Jun 2025 1 Jun 2026 · its own valuation, revised a few times a year

Current estimate €5.2M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh

Next summer, if it goes like similar cases €3.0M–€5.0M −25% median of 40 similar past cases; players the same age −27% Closest cases, what their Transfermarkt value then did in a year: Corentin Tolisso at 30 (€5.0M, scoring 55.6) +140%; Eric Bailly at 29 (€4.0M, scoring 56.7) −38%; Teddy Teuma at 30 (€6.0M, scoring 55.0) −17%.

Every value as a table

Date	Source	Value
22 Oct 2026	Current estimate (BSD)	€5.2M
1 Jun 2026	Transfermarkt	€5.0M
15 Dec 2025	Transfermarkt	€5.0M
10 Oct 2025	Transfermarkt	€5.0M
3 Jun 2025	Transfermarkt	€4.5M
10 Dec 2024	Transfermarkt	€5.0M
3 Jun 2024	Transfermarkt	€6.0M
18 Dec 2023	Transfermarkt	€6.0M
27 Jun 2023	Transfermarkt	€6.0M
2 Nov 2022	Transfermarkt	€5.0M
19 Sep 2022	Transfermarkt	€4.0M
2 Jun 2022	Transfermarkt	€1.8M
24 Mar 2022	Transfermarkt	€1.2M
27 Dec 2021	Transfermarkt	€900k
31 Jul 2020	Transfermarkt	€600k
8 Apr 2020	Transfermarkt	€550k
22 Dec 2019	Transfermarkt	€700k
8 Jun 2019	Transfermarkt	€700k
21 Dec 2018	Transfermarkt	€500k
2 Jun 2018	Transfermarkt	€200k
18 Dec 2017	Transfermarkt	€200k
21 Jun 2017	Transfermarkt	€250k
12 Dec 2016	Transfermarkt	€50k
12 Aug 2016	Transfermarkt	€50k

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

Moves

All transfers

Date	Move	Fee
17 Aug 2021	Midtjylland Toulouse	€538k

What the score is made of

Ligue 1 26/27, 445 minutes. Each part as a percentile against 546 top-five-league defender seasons of 900+ minutes since 2025/26: 50 is the middle of them (the dashed ring).

As a table

Part	Percentile	Per 90 vs average
Shooting	43	−0.11
Creating	11	−0.40
Progressing	0	−0.46
Keeping the ball	96	+1.09
Defending	97	+0.34
Aerial	98	+1.39
Finishing	14	−0.19

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level

Player	Recent score	Value now	Likeness
Gautier Lloris Stade Brestois · 31	46.6	€3.0M	99%Compare
Duje Ćaleta-Car Sassuolo · 30 · cheaper	52.1	€2.8M	95%Compare
Ruan Atlético Mineiro · 27	53.4	€4.0M	95%Compare
Léo Pétrot RSC Anderlecht · 29 · cheaper	49.1	€2.0M	95%Compare
Jacy Maranhão Coritiba · 29	51.5	€3.0M	95%Compare
Thiago Silva Fluminense · 42 · cheaper	59.9	€500k	94%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Rasmus Nicolaisen.

Seasons

Season	Competition	Team	Matches	Minutes	Score	Underlying
Ligue 1 26/27	Ligue 1	Toulouse	5	445	61.0	61.3
Ligue 1 25/26	Ligue 1	Toulouse	32	2,568	48.8	48.7
Coupe de France 25/26	Coupe de France	Toulouse	3	270	51.9	52.1
Ligue 1 24/25	Ligue 1	Toulouse	7	624	51.2	51.6
Coupe de France 24/25	Coupe de France	Toulouse	1	30	96.0	94.0
Ligue 1 23/24	Ligue 1	Toulouse	33	2,927	54.3	54.1
UEFA Europa League 23/24	Europa League	Toulouse	8	720	59.3	60.0
Ligue 1 22/23	Ligue 1	Toulouse	34	2,996	57.2	57.5

Latest matches

40 since July 2025

Date	Competition	Opponent	Result	Min	xG	xA	Score
25 Oct 2026	Ligue 1	Troyes	D 0–0	90	–	0.01	66.3
16 Oct 2026	Ligue 1	at Le Mans	W 3–0	85	–	0.00	44.9
3 Sep 2026	Ligue 1	Lille	L 0–1	90	0.06	0.01	53.7
29 Aug 2026	Ligue 1	at Stade Brestois	D 2–2	90	–	0.00	79.5
22 Aug 2026	Ligue 1	Olympique Lyonnais	L 0–2	90	0.15	0.01	59.7
10 May 2026	Ligue 1	Olympique Lyonnais	W 2–1	90	–	0.00	43.5
3 May 2026	Ligue 1	at RC Strasbourg	W 2–1	90	–	0.00	44.6
25 Apr 2026	Ligue 1	AS Monaco	D 2–2	90	–	0.02	51.7
21 Apr 2026	Coupe de France	at RC Lens	L 1–4	90	0.01	–	55.5
17 Apr 2026	Ligue 1	at RC Lens	L 2–3	90	–	0.00	48.8

All 40 matches

Date	Competition	Opponent	Result	Min	Goals	Assists	xG	xA	Score
25 Oct 2026	Ligue 1	Troyes	D 0–0	90	0	0	–	0.01	66.3
16 Oct 2026	Ligue 1	at Le Mans	W 3–0	85	0	0	–	0.00	44.9
3 Sep 2026	Ligue 1	Lille	L 0–1	90	0	0	0.06	0.01	53.7
29 Aug 2026	Ligue 1	at Stade Brestois	D 2–2	90	0	0	–	0.00	79.5
22 Aug 2026	Ligue 1	Olympique Lyonnais	L 0–2	90	0	0	0.15	0.01	59.7
10 May 2026	Ligue 1	Olympique Lyonnais	W 2–1	90	0	0	–	0.00	43.5
3 May 2026	Ligue 1	at RC Strasbourg	W 2–1	90	0	0	–	0.00	44.6
25 Apr 2026	Ligue 1	AS Monaco	D 2–2	90	0	0	–	0.02	51.7
21 Apr 2026	Coupe de France	at RC Lens	L 1–4	90	0	0	0.01	–	55.5
17 Apr 2026	Ligue 1	at RC Lens	L 2–3	90	0	0	–	0.00	48.8
12 Apr 2026	Ligue 1	Lille	L 0–4	90	0	0	0.13	0.00	41.4
3 Apr 2026	Ligue 1	at Paris Saint-Germain	L 1–3	90	1	0	0.04	0.01	50.2
21 Mar 2026	Ligue 1	Lorient	W 1–0	90	0	0	–	0.00	38.0
15 Mar 2026	Ligue 1	at Metz	W 4–3	90	0	0	0.02	0.02	55.9
7 Mar 2026	Ligue 1	Olympique de Marseille	L 0–1	90	0	0	0.04	0.01	52.3
4 Mar 2026	Coupe de France	at Olympique de Marseille	D 2–2	90	0	0	0.10	–	51.4
21 Feb 2026	Ligue 1	Paris FC	D 1–1	90	0	0	–	0.01	39.7
15 Feb 2026	Ligue 1	at Le Havre	L 1–2	62	0	0	0.05	0.03	43.9
8 Feb 2026	Ligue 1	at Angers	L 0–1	90	0	0	–	0.01	46.7
4 Feb 2026	Coupe de France	Amiens SC	W 1–0	90	0	1	–	–	48.6
1 Feb 2026	Ligue 1	Auxerre	D 0–0	90	0	0	–	0.01	50.2
25 Jan 2026	Ligue 1	at Stade Brestois	W 2–0	90	0	0	0.11	0.01	63.6
17 Jan 2026	Ligue 1	Nice	W 5–1	82	0	0	0.01	0.01	56.9
2 Jan 2026	Ligue 1	RC Lens	L 0–3	30	0	0	0.05	0.00	47.3
13 Dec 2025	Ligue 1	at Paris FC	W 3–0	90	0	0	–	0.00	41.2
6 Dec 2025	Ligue 1	RC Strasbourg	W 1–0	90	0	0	–	0.01	37.6
29 Nov 2025	Ligue 1	at Olympique de Marseille	D 2–2	90	0	0	–	0.00	50.4
23 Nov 2025	Ligue 1	Angers	L 0–1	90	0	0	0.15	0.01	54.2
9 Nov 2025	Ligue 1	at Lorient	D 1–1	90	0	0	–	0.03	68.5
2 Nov 2025	Ligue 1	Le Havre	D 0–0	90	0	0	–	0.02	46.9
29 Oct 2025	Ligue 1	Stade Rennais	D 2–2	90	0	0	–	0.01	40.9
25 Oct 2025	Ligue 1	at AS Monaco	L 0–1	73	0	0	0.03	0.00	49.2
19 Oct 2025	Ligue 1	Metz	W 4–0	90	0	0	–	0.01	41.7
5 Oct 2025	Ligue 1	at Olympique Lyonnais	W 2–1	90	0	0	–	0.01	52.0
27 Sep 2025	Ligue 1	Nantes	D 2–2	90	0	0	0.18	0.25	46.2
21 Sep 2025	Ligue 1	at Auxerre	L 0–1	70	0	0	–	0.00	66.1
14 Sep 2025	Ligue 1	at Lille	L 1–2	90	0	0	0.02	0.00	42.6
30 Aug 2025	Ligue 1	Paris Saint-Germain	L 3–6	63	0	0	–	0.00	48.5
24 Aug 2025	Ligue 1	Stade Brestois	W 2–0	20	0	0	–	0.00	40.0
16 Aug 2025	Ligue 1	at Nice	W 1–0	8	0	0	–	0.00	100.0