Ligue 1 25/26 · 21 Feb 2026

Toulouse 1–1 Paris FC

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 23% · Chances everywhere: 3.7 xG · Standout: Thibault De Smet scored 91.8 · Breakout watch: Diego Coppola

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.8 – 0.8
Actual xG: 2.9 – 0.8
Goals: 1 – 1

Footybot made Toulouse favourites at 59%.

Toulouse deserved more from the draw, creating 2.9 xG to 0.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Kevin Trapp, 71.8 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Kevin Trapp +25.9, Marshall Munetsi +11.7.

Well below it: Rasmus Nicolaisen −11.1.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Toulouse

15 Feb 2026	L 1–2	at Le Havre Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026	L 0–1	at Angers Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026	D 0–0	v Auxerre Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026	W 2–0	at Stade Brestois Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026	W 5–1	v Nice Ligue 1

Paris FC

14 Feb 2026	L 0–5	v RC Lens Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026	D 0–0	at Auxerre Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026	D 2–2	v Olympique de Marseille Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026	D 0–0	v Angers Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026	W 2–1	at Nantes Ligue 1

Head to head

13 Dec 2025	Paris FC 0–3 Toulouse Ligue 1

Toulouse

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Julian Vignolo Forward	29	1	0	0.87	71.3	–
Cristian Cásseres Jr. Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	50.4	−1.2
Charlie Cresswell Defender	90	0	0	0.22	49.9	−1.6
Pape Diop Midfielder	86	0	0	0.41	48.3	−3.3
Waren Kamanzi Midfielder	61	0	0	–	47.3	+0.5
Emersonn Forward	64	0	0	0.06	43.6	−3.3
Guillaume Restes Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	42.6	−7.1
Santiago Hidalgo Forward	90	0	1	0.72	42.2	−4.7
Yann Gboho Forward	90	0	0	0.38	41.9	−7.3
Jacen Russell Rowe Forward	26	0	0	0.11	41.3	–
Dayann Methalie Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	40.6	−0.5
Djibril Sidibé Midfielder	90	0	0	–	38.7	−7.5
Mario Sauer Midfielder	11	0	0	–	37.4	–
Rasmus Nicolaisen Defender	90	0	0	–	36.6	−11.1

Paris FC

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Thibault De Smet Defender	23	0	0	–	91.8	–
Jean-Philippe Krasso Forward	9	0	0	0.11	77.2	–
Kevin Trapp Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	71.8	+25.9
Vincent Marchetti Midfielder	23	0	0	–	62.4	–
Marshall Munetsi Midfielder	67	1	0	0.57	58.4	+11.7
Moustapha Mbow Defender	90	0	0	–	56.0	+3.0
Nhoa Sangui Defender	90	0	0	–	50.8	+4.8
Luca Koleosho Forward	23	0	0	–	48.8	–
Ciro Immobile Forward	81	0	0	–	47.1	+5.4
Alimami Gory Forward	67	0	1	–	45.9	+1.7
Ilan Kebbal Midfielder	85	0	0	0.05	44.8	−6.0
Diego Coppola Defender	90	0	0	–	44.6	−6.2
Pierre Lees Melou Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	44.3	−2.3
Jonathan Ikoné Forward	67	0	0	–	42.8	–
Otávio Defender	90	0	0	–	42.4	−5.4
Moses Simon Forward	12	0	0	–	38.1	–