Matchday

Ligue 1 25/26 · 15 Feb 2026

Le Havre 2–1 Toulouse

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.3 – 1.0
Actual xG
1.2 – 2.6
Goals
2 – 1

Footybot made Le Havre favourites at 44%.

Le Havre won although Toulouse made the better chances (2.6 xG to 1.2): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lionel Mpasi Nzau, 71.2 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Issa Soumaré +20.4, Pape Diop +19.1, Djibril Sidibé +14.5.

Well below it: Guillaume Restes −15.0, Santiago Hidalgo −10.8, Emersonn −10.1.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Le Havre

8 Feb 2026W 2–1v RC Strasbourg Ligue 1
30 Jan 2026L 0–1at RC Lens Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026D 0–0v AS Monaco Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026D 1–1at Stade Rennais Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026W 2–1v Angers Ligue 1

Toulouse

8 Feb 2026L 0–1at Angers Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026D 0–0v Auxerre Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026W 2–0at Stade Brestois Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026W 5–1v Nice Ligue 1
2 Jan 2026L 0–3v RC Lens Ligue 1

Head to head

2 Nov 2025Toulouse 0–0 Le Havre Ligue 1

Le Havre

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Lionel Mpasi Nzau Goalkeeper4500–71.2+13.1
Issa Soumaré Forward90201.0568.8+20.4
Mory Diaw Goalkeeper4500–56.5+6.7
Gautier Lloris Defender9000–53.9+0.4
Sofiane Boufal Forward65010.0150.3+0.5
Yassine Kechta Midfielder100–50.0–
Ally Samatta Forward2500–46.2–
Stephan Zagadou Defender8400–44.8−1.6
Lucas Gourna-Douath Midfielder9000–40.8−7.3
Loic Négo Defender9000–40.4−4.8
Simon Ebonog Midfielder6500–40.2−2.5
Rassoul Ndiaye Midfielder89000.1039.3−10.0
Timothee Pembele Defender1400–36.2–
Yanis Zouaoui Defender9000–33.5−6.1
Daren Mosengo Midfielder2500–31.9–
Arouna Sangante Defender200–0.0–

Toulouse

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Julian Vignolo Forward15000.74100.0–
Rafik Messali Midfielder3000–80.4–
Pape Diop Midfielder90000.2766.7+19.1
Charlie Cresswell Defender90010.1361.1+11.3
Yann Gboho Forward90000.3660.2+12.4
Aron Dønnum Midfielder90000.3558.7+7.1
Djibril Sidibé Midfielder83100.5058.6+14.5
Cristian Cásseres Jr. Midfielder6200–54.7+4.0
Mark McKenzie Defender90000.0454.0+11.8
Dayann Methalie Midfielder2800–51.5–
Jacen Russell Rowe Forward28000.0846.6–
Rasmus Nicolaisen Defender62000.0542.8−7.3
Mario Sauer Midfielder28000.0342.8–
Santiago Hidalgo Forward60000.0237.3−10.8
Emersonn Forward6200–37.0−10.1
Guillaume Restes Goalkeeper9000–35.8−15.0