Ligue 1 25/26 · 25 Jan 2026

Stade Brestois 0–2 Toulouse

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Stade Brestois favourites at 46%.

Toulouse won although Stade Brestois made the better chances (1.0 xG to 0.4): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Guillaume Restes, 62.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Mark McKenzie +14.6, Guillaume Restes +13.3, Brendan Chardonnet +12.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

17 Jan 2026	W 5–1	v Nice Ligue 1
2 Jan 2026	L 0–3	v RC Lens Ligue 1
13 Dec 2025	W 3–0	at Paris FC Ligue 1
6 Dec 2025	W 1–0	v RC Strasbourg Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025	D 2–2	at Olympique de Marseille Ligue 1

24 Aug 2025	Toulouse 2–0 Stade Brestois Ligue 1

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Brendan Chardonnet Defender	90	–	59.9	+12.1
Pathé Mboup Midfielder	45	0.29	52.6	+7.8
Hugo Magnetti Midfielder	73	–	48.0	+1.3
Joris Chotard Midfielder	90	0.13	47.3	+3.3
Lucas Tousart Midfielder	45	0.11	46.6	−0.6
Kamory Doumbia Midfielder	90	0.16	45.0	+1.3
Soumaila Coulibaly Defender	90	–	44.8	−5.3
Grégoire Coudert Goalkeeper	90	–	44.7	−3.8
Kenny Lala Defender	90	0.05	44.2	+3.5
Daouda Guindo Defender	90	0.04	44.1	+5.4
Remy Labeau Lascary Forward	83	0.13	40.4	−11.0
Ludovic Ajorque Forward	90	0.03	39.5	−6.6
Eric Ebimbe Midfielder	17	0.10	33.9	–
Hamidou Makalou Midfielder	12	–	28.2	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Guillaume Restes Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	62.9	+13.3
Rasmus Nicolaisen Defender	90	0	0	0.11	60.4	+12.1
Cristian Cásseres Jr. Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	57.0	+9.3
Pape Diop Midfielder	89	1	1	0.07	56.1	–
Mark McKenzie Defender	90	0	1	–	55.3	+14.6
Yann Gboho Forward	90	1	0	0.05	50.9	+2.7
Aron Dønnum Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	50.2	−3.4
Charlie Cresswell Defender	90	0	0	0.05	49.7	−1.8
Rafik Messali Midfielder	90	0	0	–	43.3	+3.0
Djibril Sidibé Midfielder	90	0	0	–	42.5	−0.5
Santiago Hidalgo Forward	80	0	0	–	39.4	−16.8
Julian Vignolo Forward	10	0	0	–	29.0	–
Alexis Vossah Midfielder	1	0	0	–	0.0	–