Coupe de France 25/26, Quarterfinals · 4 Mar 2026

Olympique de Marseille 2–2 Toulouse

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 23% · Chances everywhere: 10.2 xG

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Olympique de Marseille favourites at 54%.

A draw the chances agree with: 5.1 xG to 5.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Aron Dønnum, 71.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Yann Gboho +19.7, Aron Dønnum +18.3, Charlie Cresswell +16.2.

Well below it: Himad Abdelli −15.9, Ethan Nwaneri −14.1, Arthur Vermeeren −10.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Mar 2026	W 3–2	v Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1
20 Feb 2026	L 0–2	at Stade Brestois Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026	D 2–2	v RC Strasbourg Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026	L 0–5	at Paris Saint-Germain Ligue 1
3 Feb 2026	W 3–0	v Stade Rennais Coupe de France

29 Nov 2025	Olympique de Marseille 2–2 Toulouse Ligue 1

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Mason Greenwood Midfielder	90	1	0	1.56	64.1	+5.7
Leonardo Balerdi Defender	90	0	0	0.76	63.8	+9.1
Nayef Aguerd Defender	90	0	0	0.78	56.3	+0.6
Bilal Nadir Midfielder	32	0	0	–	55.0	–
Geoffrey Kondogbia Midfielder	90	0	1	0.02	53.9	+1.6
Timothy Weah Midfielder	90	0	0	–	52.4	+1.0
Igor Paixão Midfielder	89	1	0	0.10	51.5	+1.5
Gerónimo Rulli Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	49.3	+2.4
Facundo Medina Defender	90	0	0	0.03	45.5	−5.8
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang Forward	90	0	0	0.95	44.6	−8.3
Arthur Vermeeren Midfielder	58	0	0	0.06	40.6	−10.1
Himad Abdelli Midfielder	45	0	0	0.04	37.8	−15.9
Ethan Nwaneri Midfielder	45	0	0	0.76	37.3	−14.1
Hamed Junior Traorè Midfielder	1	0	0	0.02	11.3	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Aron Dønnum Midfielder	90	0	1	0.76	71.9	+18.3
Yann Gboho Forward	90	1	0	1.15	69.9	+19.7
Charlie Cresswell Defender	65	1	0	0.28	68.2	+16.2
Djibril Sidibé Midfielder	90	0	0	0.76	56.3	+8.0
Cristian Cásseres Jr. Midfielder	90	0	0	0.78	55.4	−3.2
Waren Kamanzi Midfielder	25	0	0	–	55.3	–
Rasmus Nicolaisen Defender	90	0	0	0.10	51.4	+3.8
Pape Diop Midfielder	90	0	0	0.78	49.5	−5.8
Emersonn Forward	83	0	0	0.44	47.9	−0.7
Mark McKenzie Defender	90	0	0	–	46.1	−1.3
Dayann Methalie Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	42.4	−0.2
Kjetil Haug Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	37.8	−7.8
Jacen Russell Rowe Forward	12	0	0	–	29.2	–