Ligue 1 26/27 · 16 Oct 2026

Le Mans 0–3 Toulouse

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Le Mans favourites at 52%.

Toulouse won and made the better chances: 1.8 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Rafik Messali, 66.2 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Rafik Messali +19.8, Aron Dønnum +10.7, Djibril Sidibé +10.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Lucas Calodat Defender	29	0.04	68.6	–
Noa Boissé Defender	13	–	65.2	–
Rayan Bamba Midfielder	21	–	62.6	–
Billal Brahimi Forward	29	0.04	57.2	–
Djibril Sidibé Midfielder	90	–	56.7	+10.4
Samuel Yohou Defender	90	–	48.8	−3.6
Habibou Diallo Forward	29	0.21	48.2	–
Lucas Bretelle Midfielder	90	0.02	47.7	−1.3
Nicolas Kocik Goalkeeper	90	–	47.5	−3.6
Daouda Traore Midfielder	61	0.02	46.2	–
Dame Gueye Forward	61	–	45.2	−2.8
Louis Mafouta Forward	90	0.29	41.2	−10.9
Jean Vercruysse Midfielder	90	0.28	41.1	−0.8
Lucas Buades Midfielder	69	–	37.7	–
Yasser Larouci Defender	61	–	33.1	–
Harold Voyer Defender	77	–	31.1	−13.0

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Rafik Messali Midfielder	90	0	0	–	66.2	+19.8
Alexis Vossah Midfielder	26	0	0	–	63.9	–
Aron Dønnum Midfielder	64	1	1	0.25	59.8	+10.7
Jacen Russell Rowe Forward	76	1	0	0.10	54.4	+8.2
Casper Tengstedt Forward	90	1	0	1.27	54.3	−0.8
Mark McKenzie Defender	90	0	0	–	52.7	+4.0
Niko Sigur Defender	90	0	0	–	52.2	+6.3
Guillaume Restes Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	50.9	−2.9
Cristian Cásseres Jr. Midfielder	90	0	1	0.03	50.3	−8.5
Julian Vignolo Forward	14	0	0	–	46.3	–
Rasmus Nicolaisen Defender	85	0	0	–	44.6	−5.4
Christ Tapé Defender	90	0	0	0.02	43.2	−4.4
Thomas Jørgensen Midfielder	90	0	0	0.14	41.0	−7.0
Seny Koumbassa Defender	12	0	0	–	31.0	–