Toulouse 1–0 Lorient
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.6 – 0.9
- Actual xG
- 1.2 – 0.4
- Goals
- 1 – 0
Footybot made Toulouse favourites at 55%.
Toulouse won and made the better chances: 1.2 xG to 0.4.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Noah Cadiou, 67.9 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Noah Cadiou +21.1, Abdoulaye Faye +11.9, Darlin Yongwa +8.1.
Well below it: Aron Dønnum −14.6, Ahmadou Bamba Dieng −11.3, Rasmus Nicolaisen −11.2.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Toulouse
| 15 Mar 2026 | W 4–3 | at Metz |
| 7 Mar 2026 | L 0–1 | v Olympique de Marseille |
| 28 Feb 2026 | L 0–1 | at Stade Rennais |
| 21 Feb 2026 | D 1–1 | v Paris FC |
| 15 Feb 2026 | L 1–2 | at Le Havre |
Lorient
| 14 Mar 2026 | W 2–1 | v RC Lens |
| 8 Mar 2026 | D 1–1 | at Lille |
| 1 Mar 2026 | D 2–2 | v Auxerre |
| 22 Feb 2026 | D 3–3 | at Nice |
| 15 Feb 2026 | W 2–0 | v Angers |
Head to head
| 9 Nov 2025 | Lorient 1–1 Toulouse |
Toulouse
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emersonn | 26 | 82.3 | – |
| Guillaume Restes | 90 | 54.6 | +6.6 |
| Cristian Cásseres Jr. | 90 | 53.6 | +1.1 |
| Yann Gboho | 90 | 45.5 | −4.2 |
| Seny Koumbassa | 90 | 44.1 | – |
| Mario Sauer | 17 | 43.9 | – |
| Djibril Sidibé | 84 | 42.7 | −2.1 |
| Santiago Hidalgo | 65 | 41.6 | −3.0 |
| Pape Diop | 90 | 41.1 | −8.4 |
| Mark McKenzie | 90 | 38.3 | −5.3 |
| Jacen Russell Rowe | 64 | 37.7 | – |
| Aron Dønnum | 90 | 37.0 | −14.6 |
| Rasmus Nicolaisen | 90 | 36.7 | −11.2 |
| Waren Kamanzi | 25 | 35.6 | – |
Lorient
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panos Katseris | 11 | 90.3 | – |
| Noah Cadiou | 90 | 67.9 | +21.1 |
| Abdoulaye Faye | 90 | 60.8 | +11.9 |
| Yvon Mvogo | 90 | 55.2 | +4.8 |
| Arthur Avom Ebong | 90 | 52.9 | +5.4 |
| Darlin Yongwa | 90 | 52.0 | +8.1 |
| Nathaniel Adjei | 90 | 50.2 | – |
| Karim Dermane | 73 | 50.0 | +5.1 |
| Jean Victor Makengo | 90 | 48.3 | −0.9 |
| Arsène Kouassi | 90 | 45.4 | −0.8 |
| Théo Le Bris | 79 | 45.0 | +3.6 |
| Ahmadou Bamba Dieng | 73 | 43.0 | −11.3 |
| Aiyegun Tosin | 17 | 42.8 | – |
| Sambou Soumano | 17 | 38.0 | – |