Serbia 1–2 Greece
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.8 – 1.2
- Actual xG
- 1.3 – 2.5
- Goals
- 1 – 2
Footybot made Serbia favourites at 52%.
Greece won and made the better chances: 2.5 xG to 1.3.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Christos Tzolis, 69.3 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Dimitris Kourbelis +18.5, Andrija Živković +14.8, Christos Tzolis +10.7.
Well below it: Filip Kostić −11.9.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Serbia
| 16 Nov 2025 | W 2–1 | v Latvia |
| 13 Nov 2025 | L 0–2 | at England |
| 14 Oct 2025 | W 3–1 | at Andorra |
| 11 Oct 2025 | L 0–1 | v Albania |
| 9 Sep 2025 | L 0–5 | v England |
Greece
| 18 Nov 2025 | D 0–0 | at Belarus |
| 15 Nov 2025 | W 3–2 | v Scotland |
| 12 Oct 2025 | L 1–3 | at Denmark |
| 9 Oct 2025 | L 1–3 | at Scotland |
| 8 Sep 2025 | L 0–3 | v Denmark |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Serbia
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Petar Sukačev | 1 | 97.2 | – |
| Andrija Živković | 90 | 67.5 | +14.8 |
| Aleksa Terzić | 19 | 61.8 | – |
| Strahinja Eraković | 90 | 61.8 | +7.7 |
| Vanja Milinković-Savić | 90 | 60.8 | +9.5 |
| Strahinja Pavlović | 90 | 59.8 | +5.0 |
| Sergej Milinković-Savić | 90 | 52.9 | +4.4 |
| Dejan Joveljić | 19 | 51.4 | – |
| Dušan Tadić | 89 | 50.6 | +2.9 |
| Filip Kostić | 71 | 49.4 | −11.9 |
| Nemanja Gudelj | 9 | 47.3 | – |
| Saša Lukić | 45 | 46.0 | −7.6 |
| Luka Jović | 71 | 44.5 | −2.5 |
| Mihajlo Cvetković | 45 | 43.9 | +1.3 |
| Nikola Simić | 81 | 41.3 | – |
Greece
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anastasios Douvikas | 16 | 100.0 | – |
| Giannis Michailidis | 1 | 100.0 | – |
| Andreas Tetteh | 16 | 70.6 | – |
| Christos Tzolis | 90 | 69.3 | +10.7 |
| Dimitris Kourbelis | 90 | 63.5 | +18.5 |
| Konstantinos Mavropanos | 89 | 58.5 | +9.4 |
| Christos Zafeiris | 89 | 54.3 | +6.4 |
| Panagiotis Retsos | 90 | 53.5 | +2.3 |
| Charalampos Kostoulas | 63 | 52.8 | +0.6 |
| Konstantinos Tzolakis | 90 | 52.5 | −1.6 |
| Vangelis Pavlidis | 74 | 49.5 | −5.5 |
| Georgios Vagiannidis | 90 | 49.5 | +7.0 |
| Konstantinos Karetsas | 74 | 48.2 | +0.1 |
| Kostas Tsimikas | 90 | 47.1 | +3.1 |
| Fotis Ioannidis | 27 | 41.3 | – |
| Athanasios Androutsos | 1 | 12.8 | – |