Lithuania 1–1 Azerbaijan
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.8 – 1.0
- Actual xG
- 1.1 – 0.5
- Goals
- 1 – 1
Footybot made Lithuania favourites at 56%.
Lithuania deserved more from the draw, creating 1.1 xG to 0.5.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Mahir Emreli, 67.3 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Mahir Emreli +23.1, Justas Lasickas +16.9, Edgaras Utkus +10.5.
Well below it: Artemijus Tutyškinas −12.3.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Lithuania
| 24 Sep 2026 | W 2–0 | at Liechtenstein |
| 17 Nov 2025 | L 0–4 | at Netherlands |
| 12 Oct 2025 | L 0–2 | v Poland |
| 9 Oct 2025 | L 1–2 | at Finland |
| 7 Sep 2025 | L 2–3 | v Netherlands |
Azerbaijan
| 16 Nov 2025 | L 1–3 | v France |
| 13 Nov 2025 | L 0–2 | v Iceland |
| 13 Oct 2025 | L 1–2 | at Ukraine |
| 10 Oct 2025 | L 0–3 | at France |
| 9 Sep 2025 | D 1–1 | v Ukraine |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Lithuania
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justas Lasickas | 90 | 61.2 | +16.9 |
| Edgaras Utkus | 90 | 60.6 | +10.5 |
| Armandas Kučys | 77 | 54.1 | +10.1 |
| Motiejus Burba | 24 | 44.4 | – |
| Adrian Lickunas | 66 | 43.4 | – |
| Gvidas Gineitis | 90 | 43.4 | −4.0 |
| Artemijus Tutyškinas | 90 | 39.9 | −12.3 |
| Lukas Michelbrink | 66 | 38.6 | – |
| Vykintas Slivka | 57 | 37.7 | – |
Azerbaijan
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vüsal İsgändärli | 3 | 100.0 | – |
| Mahir Emreli | 90 | 67.3 | +23.1 |
| Abdulakh Khaybulaev | 89 | 60.1 | +9.7 |
| Aleksey Isayev | 90 | 56.6 | +1.8 |
| Emil Balayev | 90 | 49.5 | – |
| Tellur Mutallimov | 87 | 47.4 | – |
| Musa Qurbanlı | 30 | 46.3 | – |
| Emil Safarov | 45 | 45.6 | – |
| Bədavi Hüseynov | 90 | 44.7 | −1.6 |
| Rüfat Abbasov | 60 | 42.3 | – |
| Rahman Dashdamirov | 90 | 39.8 | −4.1 |
| Toral Bayramov | 30 | 36.3 | – |
| Calal Huseinov | 1 | 30.2 | – |