Spain 4–1 Croatia
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 2.5 – 0.5
- Actual xG
- 1.8 – 0.4
- Goals
- 4 – 1
Footybot made Spain favourites at 82%.
Spain won and made the better chances: 1.8 xG to 0.4.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ivan Perišić, 97.1 in 72′.
Well above their usual level: Ivan Perišić +45.2, Mateo Kovačić +33.5, Marco Pašalić +29.3.
Well below it: Dominik Livaković −17.8, Marin Pongračić −15.7, Alex Baena −15.3.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Spain
| 26 Sep 2026 | W 3–2 | at England |
| 19 Jul 2026 | D 0–0 | v Argentina |
| 14 Jul 2026 | W 2–0 | at France |
| 10 Jul 2026 | W 2–1 | v Belgium |
| 6 Jul 2026 | W 1–0 | at Portugal |
Croatia
| 26 Sep 2026 | W 2–1 | at Czechia |
| 2 Jul 2026 | L 1–2 | at Portugal |
| 27 Jun 2026 | W 2–1 | v Ghana |
| 23 Jun 2026 | W 1–0 | at Panama |
| 17 Jun 2026 | L 2–4 | at England |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Spain
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Williams | 22 | 100.0 | – |
| Lamine Yamal | 68 | 91.1 | +17.3 |
| Rodri | 18 | 78.3 | – |
| Marc Pubill | 90 | 77.2 | +24.7 |
| Pedri | 33 | 64.3 | – |
| Pau Cubarsí | 90 | 64.1 | +2.3 |
| Fermín López | 57 | 60.7 | +3.6 |
| Fabián Ruiz | 57 | 60.5 | −0.1 |
| Dean Huijsen | 90 | 59.5 | +9.2 |
| Martín Zubimendi | 72 | 59.0 | +10.7 |
| Mikel Merino | 33 | 58.5 | – |
| Unai Simón | 90 | 48.7 | −0.6 |
| Marc Cucurella | 90 | 47.9 | +2.0 |
| Víctor Muñoz | 22 | 44.7 | – |
| Alex Baena | 68 | 43.2 | −15.3 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | 90 | 40.6 | −7.4 |
Croatia
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Modrić | 9 | 100.0 | – |
| Ivan Perišić | 72 | 97.1 | +45.2 |
| Franjo Ivanović | 18 | 96.2 | – |
| Mateo Kovačić | 60 | 89.4 | +33.5 |
| Luka Vušković | 45 | 82.6 | +15.6 |
| Dion Drena Beljo | 60 | 78.3 | +29.1 |
| Petar Sučić | 81 | 72.2 | +13.5 |
| Marco Pašalić | 90 | 67.7 | +29.3 |
| Josip Šutalo | 90 | 60.7 | +11.5 |
| Joško Gvardiol | 90 | 59.2 | +2.3 |
| Ivan Smolčić | 90 | 58.1 | +12.1 |
| Josip Mišić | 90 | 57.4 | +9.8 |
| Mario Pašalić | 30 | 46.5 | – |
| Ante Budimir | 30 | 38.2 | – |
| Marin Pongračić | 45 | 36.8 | −15.7 |
| Dominik Livaković | 90 | 31.7 | −17.8 |