Matchday

UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 1 Oct 2026

Malta 1–1 Gibraltar

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.8 – 0.7
Actual xG
0.7 – 0.2
Goals
1 – 1

Footybot made Malta favourites at 81%.

Malta deserved more from the draw, creating 0.7 xG to 0.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Bernardo Lopes, 76.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Bernardo Lopes +22.8, Ethan Jolley +22.3, Dan Bent +21.6.

Well below it: Teddy Teuma −24.9, Matthew Guillaumier −11.4.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Malta

24 Sep 2026W 2–1at Andorra UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2025L 2–3v Poland World Cup Qualification UEFA
14 Nov 2025W 1–0at Finland World Cup Qualification UEFA
9 Oct 2025L 0–4v Netherlands World Cup Qualification UEFA
4 Sep 2025D 1–1at Lithuania World Cup Qualification UEFA

Gibraltar

27 Sep 2026D 0–0v Andorra UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2025L 0–6at Czechia World Cup Qualification UEFA
14 Nov 2025L 1–2v Montenegro World Cup Qualification UEFA
12 Oct 2025L 0–3at Croatia World Cup Qualification UEFA
8 Sep 2025L 0–1v Faroe Islands World Cup Qualification UEFA

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Malta

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Brandon Paiber Midfielder1700–65.4–
Ylyas Chouaref Midfielder90010.0956.6−3.6
Enrico Pepe Defender9000–55.7+10.0
Ryan Camenzuli Defender90000.0949.7+13.4
Juan Carlos Corbalan Midfielder8800–47.6−6.1
Matthew Guillaumier Midfielder90000.0142.8−11.4
Keyon Ewurum Midfielder800–41.8–
Paul Mbong Midfielder17000.2033.0–
Teddy Teuma Midfielder82000.3328.8−24.9
Andrea Zammit Forward200–0.0–

Gibraltar

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Bernardo Lopes Defender90000.0776.5+22.8
Dan Bent Midfielder9000–71.4+21.6
Ethan Jolley Defender9000–66.6+22.3
Jaylan Hankins Goalkeeper9000–54.4+9.7
Julian Valarino Midfielder90000.0350.2−0.8
Graeme Torrilla Midfielder90000.0449.2+6.9
Nicholas Pozo Midfielder8600–46.6+8.0
Kian Ronan Defender90000.0543.8+4.2
Carlos Richards Forward90000.0243.3−0.5